In next war, soldiers will leave their smartphones at
home: Peter Apps
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[January 14, 2020] By
Peter Apps
LONDON (Reuters) - As the 1st Brigade
Combat Team of the U.S. 82nd Airborne Division departed for the Middle
East amid rising tensions with Iran, their divisional commander gave a
simple order. All personnel entering the region were told to leave
smartphones and personal devices in the United States.
It was a clear sign of growing official nervousness over the potential
vulnerability of items that had become an unquestioned fact of life for
soldiers and civilians alike, but which Washington fears potential foes
could track, exploit and use for targeting. Such concerns are far from
new, but were regarded less seriously when America's primary enemies
were seen as non-state groups such as Islamic State, the Taliban and al
Qaeda. Now Washington is worried about other nations – not just Iran,
but Russia and China – which are seen as a much more existential threat.
It also points to a much greater trend. Across the board, the
communications revolution – and the vast sea of data it produces – has
made surveillance much easier, a trend likely to be magnified by the
growth of artificial intelligence. It has also facilitated the mass
leaking of phenomenal amounts of information, as demonstrated by NSA
contractor Edward Snowden. And simultaneously, it has overturned decades
of tradecraft in espionage and associated fields, where despite the rise
in "fake news" and online trickery, spy agencies like the CIA now
reportedly find it almost impossible to maintain the multiple false
identities on which they once relied.
"The foundations of the business of espionage have been shattered,"
former CIA official Duyane Norman said in a Yahoo news report, which
outlined how foreign governments have become much better at tracking
real and covert U.S. identities through phone and bank records, facial
recognition and even the records of off-the-shelf DNA tests. "The debate
[within the intelligence community] is like the one surrounding climate
change. Anyone who says otherwise just isn't looking at the facts."
OPTIONS LIMITED
For military commanders, the options are also becoming limited. In
Russia's war with Ukraine, Moscow's forces have shown remarkable skill
in targeting counterparts on the battlefield as soon as they use their
phones or radios. According to the U.S.-based Military Times, the U.S.
Marine Corps already bans troops from taking personal devices on Middle
East combat deployments. The U.S. Navy says it is reconsidering its
rules, while the Army says such decisions - as with the 82nd Airborne -
are at the personal discretion of commanders.
Decisions are inevitably compromises. Taking away devices reduces the
ability of personnel not just to talk to their families, but can
complicate communications and organization. But concerns are growing
fast. This month, the Pentagon also demanded personnel stop using the
Chinese-owned TikTok application, with other similar platforms including
WhatsApp also added to some blacklists.
Reducing "careless talk" and unnecessary radio and other emissions is
hardly new. As far back as World War One, British commanders discovered
telephone systems in forward trenches had often been compromised by
German signallers and did everything they could to ensure the most
sensitive messages were instead carried by hand or word-of-mouth. Naval
vessels, military aircraft and particularly submarines have long done
everything possible to mask their signatures, particularly near enemy
territory. Recent years, however, have seen growing lapses, including
from those who might have been expected to know better.
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FITNESS APP
In early 2018, data released by fitness app Strava identified assorted U.S.,
Russian and even Iranian secret bases in Syria where military personnel and
contractors appeared to have recorded their exercise runs without realizing they
would be highlighted and widely shared. The U.S. military has now gone so far as
to incorporate such mistakes into training exercises, killing off an entire unit
in one drill after a soldier posted a selfie photo whose geo-tagging gave away
their position.
Authorities are also nervous about non-accidental release of information. This
November, White House and military staff removed smartphones from reporters and
presidential aides for the duration of President Donald Trump's unannounced
Thanksgiving trip to Afghanistan, which appeared as much about ensuring the news
did not leak as worries the phones themselves might be tracked.
In terms of the latter, the greatest threat will come when artificial
intelligence and voice recognition software reach the point where phones can be
used to monitor nearby conversations without use of a human analyst or
translator. That may come sooner rather than later – one reason why some
security experts are extremely nervous about Chinese firm Huawei being at the
heart of 5G phone networks in several European countries. That may include
Britain, due to make its own choice soon. This week, the head of Britain's
Security Service told the Financial Times he believed that risk can be managed
without barring the Chinese firm altogether. U.S. counterparts, however, are
much more cautious.
For authoritarian states like China and Iran, both witnessing a major spike in
often smartphone-coordinated protest and unrest, being able to access and track
electronic devices – and the population at large – is seen as a priority. Most
notably in Xinjiang province but also across the country, Beijing is turning
China into the most sophisticated surveillance state in human history. Within
its borders, China already has considerable, sometimes almost exhaustive, access
to data and devices. Faster and more incisive artificial intelligence and
machine learning will dramatically extend that reach.
The question for Western states will be how effectively their potential foes can
repurpose that technology to gather information outside their borders. The
United States and its allies have become used to being able to use whatever
devices and communications they wished since the Berlin wall fell. Those days
are ending fast.
*** Peter Apps is a writer on international affairs, localization, conflict and
other issues. He is the founder and executive director of the Project for Study
of the 21st Century; PS21, a non-national, non-partisan, non-ideological think
tank. Paralysed by a war-zone car crash in 2006, he also blogs about his
disability and other topics. He was previously a reporter for Reuters and
continues to be paid by Thomson Reuters. Since 2016, he has been a member of the
British Army Reserve and the UK Labour Party, and is an active fundraiser for
the party.
(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reuters)
(Editing by Giles Elgood)
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