Still, if Weinstein's defense team can persuade
the jury that the accusers engaged in consensual sexual activity
to gain an edge in the entertainment industry, that could result
in an acquittal or hung jury, other experts said. All 12 jurors
must agree in order for prosecutors to secure a conviction.
Weinstein, 67, has pleaded not guilty to charges of assaulting
two women in New York, and faces life in prison if convicted on
the most serious charge, predatory sexual assault.
Weinstein has said that any sexual encounters he has had have
been consensual.
Donna Rotunno, Weinstein's lead lawyer, told Reuters last month
that his defense team had "a slew of witnesses ready to go," and
that they would offer emails showing that his accusers had
maintained friendly relationships with him after the alleged
assaults.
Rotunno did not respond to requests for comment on the defense
strategy.
Bennett Gershman, a former Manhattan prosecutor, said that
consent would likely be the heart of Weinstein's defense.
"I think he’s going to try to show that these women were trying
to ingratiate themselves with this powerful Hollywood mogul,
that they were not victims, that they were willing participants
in various sexual encounters," said Gershman, a former
prosecutor who is now a law professor at Pace University.
As many as four additional women are expected to testify for the
prosecutors, who are trying to establish a consistent pattern of
misconduct, according to court papers.
Eric Tennen, a criminal defense lawyer in Boston who has handled
sexual assault cases, said it could be difficult for Weinstein
to convince a jury that several women had motive to lie about
him.
"That's a hard pill to swallow," he said.
Experts said the challenge is intensified by the #MeToo
movement, in which numerous women have gone public with
misconduct allegations against powerful men, increasing
potential jurors' awareness of sexual abuse and making them more
likely to believe accusers.
Since 2017, more than 80 women have accused Weinstein of sexual
misconduct dating back decades, helping to fuel the movement.
One of the two main accusers in the case, former production
assistant Mimi Haleyi, has said publicly that Weinstein forced
oral sex on her in his Manhattan home in 2006. The other, who
has not been identified, was raped by Weinstein in 2013,
prosecutors allege.
Daniel Hochheiser, a New York-based criminal defense lawyer who
has handled sex crime cases, said the defense might call
witnesses who observed the relationship between Weinstein and
his accusers to bolster a defense of consent.
"If there are witnesses who can testify that the behavior of the
complainant after the alleged sexual assault was inconsistent
with someone who had been assaulted, that could be very
powerful," he said.
Weinstein's lawyers will likely try to show inconsistencies in
his accusers' past statements through cross-examination, which
experts said could be persuasive evidence for the defense. They
will, however, have to be careful not to appear too aggressive.
"If the defense lawyers are perceived as being too aggressive
and challenging, it’s going to make the witnesses more
sympathetic," said Daniel Medwed, a professor of criminal law at
Northeastern University School of Law.
Weinstein could also argue the encounters were consensual but
with the passage of time the accusers' perspectives and memories
of the event changed, said Tennen.
Weinstein's lawyers have said in court papers that they intend
to call Deborah Davis, a psychologist and professor at the
University of Nevada at Reno, to testify about how memories can
be distorted. Davis said she was "still on tap" to testify and
declined to comment on the case.
Gershman said such testimony has been successful in cases
involving alleged sexual abuse of children, who have been shown
to be susceptible to false memories.
Weinstein also has a right to testify in his own defense, but
that is generally considered risky.
By testifying, Medwed said, Weinstein would open himself to a
"broad-based character attack" about his honesty that could
backfire.
(Reporting by Brendan Pierson; Additional reporting by Gabriella
Borter; Editing by Noeleen Walder and Rosalba O'Brien)
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