Biden, leading Trump by eight points, also has a big advantage with
undecided voters: Reuters/Ipsos poll
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[July 22, 2020]
By Chris Kahn
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Democratic candidate
Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by 8 percentage points in support
among registered voters, and the former vice president appears to have a
significant advantage among voters who are undecided, according to a
Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll.
The July 15-21 poll found that 46% of registered voters said they would
back Biden in the Nov. 3 election, while 38% would vote for Republican
Trump. The remaining 16% are either undecided, plan to support a
third-party candidate or may not vote.
Both Biden and Trump campaigns have focused much of their time on
reaching out to this third group of potentially persuadable voters,
which could swing a close election in either direction.
Reuters/Ipsos polling in 2016 found that support was evenly split that
summer between Trump and then Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton among
registered voters who had not backed a major party candidate. On
Election Day, Trump won a majority of voters who said they decided in
the final week.
This year, the poll found that 61% of undecided or third-party
registered voters said they would support Biden if they had to choose,
while 39% would vote for Trump.
Seventy percent of undecided or third-party registered voters say they
disapprove of Trump's performance in office and the same number said
they think the country is headed on the wrong track. And 62% said they
thought the U.S. economy was headed in the wrong direction.
This group also appears to be deeply concerned about the novel
coronavirus, which has killed more than 141,000 Americans and forced
millions out of work as businesses closed in an effort to slow the
spread of the virus.
About 8 in 10 said they were personally concerned about the spread of
the virus. When asked about the most important factor driving their
decision to vote, 34% - a plurality - said they were looking for a
candidate who has "a robust plan to help the nation recover."
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Democratic U.S. presidential candidate and former Vice President Joe
Biden arrives to speak about modernizing infrastructure and his
plans for tackling climate change during a campaign event in
Wilmington, Delaware, U.S., July 14, 2020. REUTERS/Leah Millis/File
Photo
Another 24% said they were looking for someone who can "restore
trust in American government" and 12% said they wanted a candidate
who is "strong on healthcare."
Registered voters have consistently ranked Biden as the better
candidate when it comes to all three.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll also showed that only 38% of the public
supports Trump's handling of the coronavirus, including 20% of
undecided or third-party registered voters.
Trump, who played down the crisis and did not appear publicly in a
mask https://www.reuters.com/article/health-coronavirus-trump-timeline/timeline-masks-and-the-future-of-the-virus-trump-in-his-own-words-idUSL2N2ES1YY
until July 12, pushed to reopen businesses well before health
experts said it was safe.
Trump appeared to shift his tone this week and restarted
regular briefings on the pandemic on Tuesday, encouraging Americans
to wear a face covering if they could not keep socially distant.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online, in English, throughout
the United States. It gathered responses from 4,430 American adults,
including 3,744 registered voters, and 595 registered voters who had
not supported a major-party candidate.
It has a credibility interval, a measure of precision, of about 2
percentage points for the entire group and 5 points for the
undecided or third-party voters.
(Reporting by Chris Kahn, Editing by Soyoung Kim and Grant McCool)
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