The
drop in private payrolls last month shown in the ADP National
Employment Report on Wednesday followed a record 19.557 million
plunge in April. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast
private payrolls dropping by 9 million in May.
Though the worst of job losses is probably behind as businesses
reopen, economists estimate that roughly one in four workers who
were laid off or furloughed during the near shutdown of the
country in mid-March to control the spread of COVID-19 were
unlikely to be rehired.
Many bankruptcies are anticipated despite the government's
Paycheck Protection Program, part of a historic fiscal package
worth nearly $3 trillion, which offered businesses loans that
could be partially forgiven if they were used for employee pay.
The ADP report, jointly developed with Moody's Analytics, was
published ahead of the government's more comprehensive
employment report for May scheduled for release on Friday.
While it has a poor record predicting the private payrolls
component of the government's employment report because of
methodology differences, it fits in with economists'
expectations for another month of job losses in the millions.
According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls
probably declined by 8 million last month after plummeting by a
record 20.537 million in April. The unemployment rate is
forecast rocketing to 19.8%, a post-World War Two high, from
14.7% in April.
(Reporting By Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Andrea Ricci)
[© 2020 Thomson Reuters. All rights
reserved.] Copyright 2020 Reuters. All rights reserved. This material may not be published,
broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
Thompson Reuters is solely responsible for this content.
|
|