ILLINOIS
FIRST TO RELY ON ‘LENDER OF LAST RESORT’ BORROWING FROM FEDERAL RESERVE
Illinois Policy Institute/
Adam Schuster
After
failing to receive a favorable offer for its debt on the private market,
Illinois borrowed $1.2 billion from the Fed’s new Municipal Lending
Facility. Lawmakers authorized another $5 billion. |
On June 2, Illinois became the first state to borrow from the
Federal Reserve’s new and historically unprecedented Municipal Lending Facility.
The $1.2 billion bond issuance comes with a 3.83% interest rate and must be
repaid in one year, according to The Bond Buyer.
The state’s credit rating is just one notch above junk according to two major
ratings agencies, the lowest of any U.S. state. Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker had
previously tried to sell the $1.2 billion in debt through private markets in
May, but pulled the bond issuance after failing to secure a favorable offer.
Being forced to rely on “lender of last resort” borrowing from the Fed
underscores just how weak Illinois’ finances truly are.
Without major financial reforms, particularly to the state’s deeply indebted
pension system, residents of Illinois will be forced to endure a continued
deterioration of state finances. Illinoisans have already been subjected to the
combination of multiple significant tax hikes and cuts to core government
services during the past decade as the state struggles to keep up with rising
debt burdens. The Prairie State’s ratio of total debt compared to the size of
its economy was the second highest in the nation at the end of 2018. More debt
risks further crowding out spending on services and provides some Springfield
politicians with an excuse to push for even higher taxes.
The last one-year Illinois bond maturity sold privately came
with a 4.875% interest rate, 4.33 percentage points higher than states with the
top AAA credit rating must pay. The lower price demanded by the Fed, while still
based on states’ relative credit ratings, means Illinois is almost certainly
receiving a better deal than it could get through a competitive market sale but
is still much higher than it would pay were its finances not a wreck.
The Fed announced the new state and local lending program on April 9 amid
concerns that volatility in private bond markets, where governments typically
sell their debt, would prevent state and local governments from accessing needed
cash during the COVID-19 pandemic. Economic fallout from government shutdowns to
fight coronavirus has caused massive disruptions in revenue collections, with
Moody’s Analytics projecting total state revenue losses of between $130 billion
and $172 billion. Those losses are hitting just as demand for government
spending on public health and disaster relief is increasing, causing many
elected officials to look to short term borrowing to bridge the gap.
Lawmakers granted Pritzker an additional $5 billion of borrowing authority to
partially cover holes in the recently enacted state budget. The new budget marks
Illinois’ 20th consecutive unbalanced spending plan and increased by $2.4
billion, even though state leaders knew the coronavirus was seriously cutting
revenues.
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Illinois’ high cost of debt and limited access to
bond markets have been caused by two decades of fiscal mismanagement
by Springfield politicians, primarily driven by unsustainable
pension systems. According to Moody’s Investors Service, Illinois’
$241 billion in pension debt at the end of fiscal year 2018 equaled
more than 500% of state revenues, making it the worst pension crisis
in the nation.
In 2019, S&P Global Ratings warned that without a
“practical reduction in liabilities” of the state pension systems
the state’s credit could slip to junk status. Similarly, Moody’s has
said Illinois’ rating reflects “extremely large net pension
liabilities and a long history of unbalanced financial operations.”
To date, Pritzker has opposed any attempt to reform state pensions.
Pritzker and many Democratic lawmakers have publicly stated they
hope to be able to repay recent and planned borrowing with a bailout
from the federal government, which Congress has not passed. Pritzker
has repeatedly called for potential federal aid to be
“unencumbered,” meaning he wants a blank-check bailout with no
strings attached.
Congress should reject those requests.
The Illinois Policy Institute has proposed a plan under which any
additional financial assistance provided to state governments by
Congress would be made contingent on certain taxpayer protections.
Those conditions would ensure federal aid supports essential
government services rather than being squandered through waste and
mismanagement. States would have to demonstrate they have sound
pensions, truly balanced budgets and sufficient rules for emergency
savings or else enact significant reforms to meet those conditions.
States that fail to meet the conditions would have to repay federal
monies with interest.
By conditioning any further financial assistance on good stewardship
of taxpayer dollars, Congress could encourage the structural reforms
needed to fix Illinois’ credit rating and offer relief to state
residents overburdened by public debt. Lower debt burdens and more
efficient state spending would help ensure a strong recovery from
the COVID-19 recession and provide Illinoisans with a path to the
tax relief they need to prosper.
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