India has the world's fourth-biggest outbreak of the virus that
causes COVID-19, below only the United States, Brazil and Russia
in confirmed infections, according to a Reuters tally.
Infections are expected to continue rising steadily in India.
Experts advising the federal government say the authorities
should now prioritise reducing mortality over containing the
spread of the virus.
"Our focus should be on preventing deaths and not really getting
bogged down because of the numbers. Numbers are going to
increase," said Dr Manoj Murhekar, a member of India's main
coronavirus task force and director of the National Institute of
Epidemiology.
The COV-IND-19 study group, led by Bhramar Mukherjee, a
biostatistics professor from the University of Michigan,
forecasts that India could see between 770,000 and 925,000 cases
by July 15.
As infections mount swiftly and hospitals become stretched, some
cities like New Delhi are scrambling to build temporary
facilities with thousands of beds to quarantine and treat
COVID-19 patients.
The city of around 20 million people only has around 13,200 beds
for COVID-19 patients and will add at least 20,000 in coming
weeks, with some facilities manned by army and paramilitary
doctors.
Staff shortages are likely to be a concern as hospitals are
swamped and more temporary facilities open, experts warn,
although health authorities in some Indian cities are pushing
for improved risk-based categorisation of patients.
"We have to ensure those who really require treatment aren't
denied services," said Dr Giridhar R. Babu, an epidemiologist at
the Public Health Foundation of India who is advising the
southern state of Karnataka.
(Reporting by Devjyot Ghoshal; Editing by Alasdair Pal and
William Mallard)
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