The
report by the Washington-based National Ocean Industries
Association comes as Biden and other Democrats hoping to unseat
Republican President Donald Trump in November's election have
vowed to shift the country away from planet-warming fossil fuels
to help avert the worst impacts of climate change.
"It's important for the public and policymakers to understand
the ramifications, which are severe," NOIA President Erik Milito
said in an interview about the study.
Biden has said that moving away from fossil fuels would pave the
way for big job gains in renewable energy.
NOIA said it conducted research on the economic impact of an
offshore drilling ban, and analyzed two scenarios: one assuming
no new leases, and another assuming no new drilling permits
issued beginning in 2022.
If no new permits are issued, the offshore industry would have
179,000 jobs in 2040, less than half the 370,000 jobs it would
be projected to support under current policies, the report said.
Government revenues from the industry, meanwhile, would be $2.7
billion a year instead of $7 billion, it said.
With no new leases, jobs and revenues would each be more than
25% lower than the business-as-usual forecast.
Last year, drilling in the Gulf of Mexico's Outer Continental
Shelf supported 345,000 U.S. jobs and contributed $28.7 billion
to the economy. But that was before the coronavirus pandemic
choked off demand for transport fuels, igniting an oil price
collapse that put the industry in crisis.
NOIA said the report's forecasts take into account the current
industry downturn.
(Reporting by Nichola Groom; Editing by Marguerita Choy)
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