The world's sixth-biggest economy is set to shrink by 11.3% in
2020, its biggest contraction since the early 1700s, before
growing by 5.5% in 2021, Sunak said as he announced a one-year
spending plan.
"Our health emergency is not yet over. And our economic
emergency has only just begun," Sunak told parliament. "So our
immediate priority is to protect people's lives and
livelihoods."
Announcing the latest forecasts from the Office for Budget
Responsibility (OBR), Sunak said public borrowing was set to
soar to 394 billion pounds ($526 billion) in the current 2020/21
financial year.
That was equivalent to 19% of gross domestic product, the
highest ever during peacetime.
In the previous 2019/20 fiscal year, which ended as the country
began to be hit by the COVID-19 pandemic, borrowing came in at
just over 56 billion pounds, or 2.5% of GDP.
Sunak has rushed out emergency spending and tax cuts to offset
the crisis, including a recent extension of the government's
centrepiece jobs protection scheme.
In August, the OBR said it expected borrowing to total 372.2
billion pounds this year, or 18.9% of GDP.
Sunak has previously said that now is not the time to start
reining in borrowing sharply, with the economy likely to shrink
again in the fourth quarter of 2020 after the latest coronavirus
restrictions on businesses.
He recently extended the jobs protection plan until the end of
March, adding to his 200 billion pounds of emergency spending
and tax cut measures.
Sunak said the cost of the fight against coronavirus was now
estimated at 280 billion pounds this year.
Nearly 56,000 Britons have died from COVID-19, the highest death
toll in Europe.
Britain is also facing the risk of a trade shock in less than
six weeks' time when its post-Brexit transition deal is due to
expire. No new trade agreement has yet been reached with the
European Union.
Sunak has said he might be able to focus on fixing the huge hole
in the public finances -- possibly through tax rises -- by the
spring, if there is progress on COVID-19 vaccines and the
government's test-and-trace programme.
He was expected to announce extra investment to ease a backlog
in the health system, counter a surge in unemployment and build
new infrastructure in his one-year Spending Review.
($1 = 0.7490 pounds)
(Writing by William Schomberg; Editing by Catherine Evans)
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