Fall 2020 Logan County
Farm Outlook Magazine

Fall Farm Outlook Intro
By Ag Consultant John Fulton

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[October 29, 2020]  The year 2020 has certainly been a year we will never forget, and hope to never repeat. The top three news stories have repeated for much of the year thus far, just changing in the order presented. The year for agriculture has certainly been one to repeat on some of the major topics as well.

Weather is usually the top story for the year in agriculture. It once again repeats in my opinion. The spring brought us many rain events in April and May, with me recording 31 rain events for those two months at my house. Granted, about a third of them were less than a tenth of an inch, but the two month total precipitation was still almost 12.5 inches.

We also had a sudden hard freeze in April, which caught some of the earliest planted crops, and affected some of our fruit tree blooms as well.

Markets, and market access, has been another major news story for agriculture. Prices have been up, down, and all-around as trade news and export sales have greatly affected markets.

The COVID-19 virus has certainly had its impacts as well. The pandemic has greatly affected economies of countries, companies, and individuals. In many respects, the pandemic limited sales and prices. Lately, there has been upward movement in grain markets as countries are looking to secure supplies if another wave of the pandemic disrupts market and transportation channels.



Transportation of commodities has always given the United States a comparative advantage for exports in the past. Our country has an integrated transportation system of water, rail, and highway which makes transportation of bulk goods very efficient – when all the pieces are working well together.

This year the Army Corps of Engineers has closed many of locks and dams on the Illinois River for much needed repairs and updates. Some of the repairs have been completed, but some closures are still scheduled through the end of the month, and half-day closures at some locations will continue into January. Much like a road construction project, it is not fun while going on, but great when complete.

The other transportation issue has been the availability of truck drivers. During the pandemic, much of the interstate traffic has been heavy trucks moving goods to market. To drive the “big rigs,” the drivers need a CDL (Commercial Driver’s License).
Truck drivers and delivery has taken the top job in most states, as this is a vocation which is needed, can’t be outsourced, and can’t be automated – yet. The competition for CDL drivers remains great, and agriculture needs its share to move commodities and finished products.

Seed options and herbicide resistance traits have certainly been hot topics again in 2020. The Enlist seed system finally made it into the commercial marketplace.

The use of the dicamba system was largely halted for a period in June by a Federal Court committee vacating the labels of the three major products for that market. The EPA ruling on the use of purchased stocks cleared things up, but didn’t solve all the issues. A different Federal Court committee reviewed the Enlist system, and did not halt its use, but requested further testing in one area.

Why are these events, and products, important to agriculture? They are really two of the three production systems which provide weed control for some of the weeds which are resistant to most other herbicides.

There is confirmed resistance to both of these herbicide programs in a relatively short time.
There is confirmed Palmer Amaranth resistance in the south to dicamba, and waterhemp resistance to 2,4-D confirmed in several states - including Illinois.

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Stay tuned as the EPA is reviewing new label submissions for the dicamba system this fall. We need to keep these tools available for use, along with the glufosinate (Liberty) system.

Reduced costs and increased profits are the goals of any business. Agriculture is no different, and the pandemic has certainly provided challenges and opportunities. With decreased travel, demand for fuel has decreased greatly. This has also affected the ethanol made from corn. The counterpoint to this is the increased need for hand sanitizer made from the ethanol.

The livestock market has also been very interesting. There has been increased demand due to concern about shortages, while shortages have been occurring in some instances particularly due to virus outbreaks among the workers in processing plants.

Some local producers had a short time of greatly increased orders. The local producers were able to fill orders to the extent local, small processing plants had capacity to take additional numbers. This quickly became an issue with some local plants booked out for several months. This is a story of plenty of raw product, but limited capacity to process it for consumption.

With all of the things going on, what has the fall brought us?

Yields for the most part have been good. Soybean yields are probably exceeding averages more often than corn yields from what I have heard. There probably won’t be any records set this year, but yields are still good in most locations. Some fields were impacted by the extremely wet conditions of the spring, and those yields will definitely be lower than normal.

Prices have been working their way up with export news.

While the extremely dry fall has been bad to provide the little bit of extra fill that would have increased yields, it has provided for ideal harvest weather. Of course a little bit of moisture might have helped prevent some fields with the soybean dust phenomenon.



As we look forward to finishing up harvest, fall field work and fertilizer applications have also been going on in many locations. This is always a plus, as it helps temper the effects of a wet spring by keeping operations more timely. With more work to do in the fields this fall, be aware of the equipment on the roads – and be safe.

 

Read all the articles in our new
2021 Fall Farm Outlook Magazine

Title
CLICK ON TITLES TO GO TO PAGES
Page
Fall Farm Outlook Intro 4
Rising grain prices 8
Making more money 11
Spring seed decisions begin during fall harvest 15
It's 2020 and Illinois has a big clog! 18
CDL Drivers:  Important key in Ag industry 23
Local farm clubs and organizations focused on giving 28
Thank a farmer - for more than you may realize 35

 

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