U.S. media have reported that U.S. intelligence assesses Russia
could be planning a multi-front offensive on Ukraine as early as
next year involving up to 175,000 troops. Russia denies it plans
to invade and says the West is gripped by Russophobia.
"Russia needs to know in advance what the economic price tag
is," Latvian Foreign Minister Edgars Rinkēvičs told Reuters in
an interview in London.
Rinkēvičs, who has served as foreign minister since 2011, said
it was unclear if Putin was simply trying to test the resolve of
the West or if the Kremlin planned a full-scale invasion of
Ukraine.
"Maybe astrology or some other more precise science needs to be
involved. But I do believe that Ukraine for Russia and President
Putin is an essential part of the kind of vision of a great
Russia," Rinkēvičs said.
If Russia does invade Ukraine then the West, Rinkēvičs said,
should prepare a very strong economic sanctions package
including cutting Russia off from the SWIFT international
payment system used by banks around the world and sanctioning
the $11 billion Nord Stream 2 pipeline.
The NATO military alliance should also boost its presence across
Eastern Europe to deter Putin and individual NATO allies might
provide arms to Ukraine, Rinkēvičs said.
"NATO needs to increase its presence in the eastern flank to
show Russia that the price of doing some military adventure in
Ukraine is more troops, more defence capability and underlying
defence capability in the Baltic States, in Poland, in Romania,
in Bulgaria," he said.
NATO has in recent years strengthened its presence in the Baltic
states and across Eastern Europe, a step that has dismayed the
Kremlin.
Rinkēvičs said battle groups in the Baltics should be
reinforced, air defences strengthened, logistical security
improved and an increased U.S. presence on the ground.
"Seeing what is happening now in and around Ukraine, we need
also to review where we are with the defence of the eastern
flank of NATO," Rinkēvičs said. "That means more capabilities
that could actually send a very strong deterrent message to
Russia."
(Reporting by Guy Faulconbridge; Editing by Kate Holton)
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