The
greenback bounced off a nearly three-year low on Thursday as a
rise in U.S. yields triggered some unwinding of bearish bets on
the currency, with traders taking profits against the euro in
particular.
Democrats won effective control of the Senate this week, while
chaos gripped Washington. Congressional Democrats on Friday
weighed impeaching President Donald Trump for a second time
after his false claims of election fraud helped encourage a mob
that stormed the U.S. Capitol. [nL1N2JJ0UU]
The Democrats' Senate seat wins give President-elect Joe Biden
scope to push through more spending, which analysts predict will
fuel risk appetite and be negative for bonds and the dollar.
"I think once this euphoria dies down, the dollar is likely to
resume its downtrend trend, because I don't think the Fed will
be so eager to taper," said Marshall Gittler, head of investment
research at BDSwiss, in a note.
"I think the U.S. employment picture is likely to lag that of
other countries and therefore the U.S. tightening cycle is
likely to lag. That makes the picture for the dollar negative,
in my view."
The dollar index dropped 7% in 2020 and as much as 0.9% in the
first few days of the new year on expectations of U.S. fiscal
stimulus.
On Friday, the index was last up 0.1% at around the 90 mark,
after its biggest increase in more than two months on Thursday.
It remains on track for a weekly decline.
U.S. non-farm payrolls data for December is due at 1330 GMT,
with the median expectation in a Reuters poll for a gain of
71,000 jobs, down from a gain of 245,000 in November.
Several major currencies weakened against the dollar before
regaining some ground, with the euro dipping to as as much as
0.5% down at $1.22130, while the Japanese yen touched a fresh
three-week low at 104.090. The euro was last down 0.2%, while
the yen had recovered to flat.
Bitcoin hit a fresh all-time high, up more than 5% on the day,
after smashing through $40,000 for the first time on Thursday.
[nL1N2JJ06V]
(Reporting by Iain Withers, Additional reporting by Kevin
Buckland in Tokyo; Editing by Kim Coghill and Kevin Liffey)
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