The
ECB last week agreed to maintain an elevated pace of bond
purchases to keep borrowing costs ultra low and policymakers did
not even entertain questions about tapering support, even as
growth rebounds faster than earlier predicted.
"I am not suggesting that the pandemic emergency purchase
programme (PEPP) is going to stop on 31 March," Lagarde was
quoted on Monday as saying. "We have plenty of flexibility, but
in terms of economic outlook we are heading in the right
direction.
"It is far too early to debate these issues," she said about
winding down the 1.85 trillion euro PEPP, which is scheduled to
last at least until March 31 or until the crisis phase of the
pandemic is over.
Economists expect the ECB to start discussing the end of PEPP at
their September meeting and the vast majority of ECB watchers
polled by Reuters do not expect PEPP to be enlarged and extended
again.
Instead, the ECB is more likely to shift policy support to an
older and more rigid Asset Purchase Programme, which is likely
to remain in place indefinitely as inflation is due to
undershoot the ECB's target for years to come.
"We are at a turning point where, bearing in mind alternative
(virus) variants, we are on that recovery path, heading firmly
towards a return to the pre-COVID-19 level," Lagarde added.
(Reporting by Balazs Koranyi; Editing by Kim Coghill)
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