The City has been largely cut off from the EU
since Britain's full departure on Dec. 31, 2020, with bankers
and City officials not expecting any direct access to the bloc
anytime soon.
"Almost five years after the Brexit referendum, and five months
after Britain's exit from the European Union, the future of
London as a global financial center seems secure," Davies said
in a column for Project Syndicate on Tuesday.
"But although the City will remain Europe’s largest financial
marketplace, its Golden Age as Europe’s financial capital is
over," said Davies, a former Deputy Governor of the Bank of
England and Chairman of the UK Financial Services Authority.
The debate about the future of the City so far has remained a
"dialogue of the deaf" as backers of Brexit say the hit would be
minimal, while opponents of leaving the EU forecast "gloom and
doom", said Davies.
COVID-19 has confused the picture, making it harder for staff to
relocate from London to the EU, he said.
Trading in euro shares and swaps shifted from London to the
continent, but it will take time for any putative rival in the
EU to develop a plausible matching offer, Davies said.
Bankers want Britain to focus on making the City more attractive
for global investors and Brussels is scrutinising Britain to see
how far it will go in diverging from EU rules.
David Frost, the UK minister in charge with ties with the EU,
said on Monday it was important for Britain to use its freedom
from the bloc to de-regulate in the most productive way
possible.
"We are looking at financial services regulations and seeing
what we can do now we are able to move on from EU arrangements
in financial services," Frost told lawmakers. He is setting up a
new unit to start a "journey that will bring huge benefits".
NatWest, formerly Royal Bank of Scotland, has slashed back its
overseas operations since its balance sheet ballooned to bigger
than the size of the UK economy before requiring a government
bailout in 2008 during the financial crisis.
But its minnow investment bank NatWest Markets retains a
presence in the eurozone in Amsterdam, which the bank bulked up
ahead of Brexit.
(Reporting by Huw Jones, additional reporting by Iain Withers,
Editing by William Maclean)
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