Executives at Rio routinely review the dual structure and have
for years resisted any change, a direction unlikely to shift
under the helm of new chief executive Jakob Stausholm, two
sources familiar with the company told Reuters.
Just last month, Stausholm defended the dual listing as an
effective one-management, one-board structure set up 26 years
ago to satisfy both the UK and Australian governments that he
thought management should "honour."
Royal Dutch Shell's decision this week to scrap its dual
structure and move its head office to London has renewed focus
on dual listings, which are often criticised as both complex and
expensive.
It followed a move by the world's biggest miner BHP Group in
August to collapse its 20-year-old structure, quitting its
London listing in favour of Sydney.
Any similar move by London-headquartered Rio would likely see it
shift its primary listing to the UK, where it has most of its
shareholders, although the majority of its profits come from
Australia.
Although it is not uncommon for companies to quote their shares
on multiple exchanges, a dual-listing is incorporated under two
different legal regimes operating as a single business on two
bourses, often designed to persuade governments to sign off on
cross-border mergers.
The structure can bring some tax advantages but means increased
costs and can make stock-based acquisitions and corporate
restructurings more difficult, say analysts.
Despite pressure on big companies to simplify their structures,
Australian investors would likely take a dim view of any move by
Rio to unwind the dual listing.
"Any move would likely see major pushback from the Australian
government and Australian shareholders," said Peter O'Connor of
Shaw and Partners in Sydney.
The government would be unhappy that control of raw materials
was moving offshore, particularly as the Western Australian iron
ore business accounted for more than 80% of Rio's profits over
the past two years.
"We are of the view that unless you can make a really strong
case for why it needs to be done, it's better left alone," said
Brenton Saunders, financial analyst at Pendal Group in Sydney.
Rio would need to demonstrate value to both sets of shareholders
to cut the Australian listing, and any jurisdiction
disadvantaged would have to be remunerated, he added.
Australian shares tend to trade at a premium to London-listed
stock due to tax rebates on dividends, and a collapsed structure
would lead to a transfer of value from Australian shareholders
to London shareholders, Saunders said.
"That has pretty much happened already for BHP and it will
likely happen with Rio if they were to announce a dual-listed
company unification," he said.
Still, as corporates come under pressure to be simpler, more
integrated and innovative, O'Connor said pressure for a change
in structure from investors, especially those in London, is
likely to rise.
"The probability of Rio collapsing its dual share structure and
moving it to a London listing is moving towards 100, having been
at around 50 on the scale of probability for years," he said.
(Reporting by Melanie Burton and Clara Denina; editing by
Richard Pullin)
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