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In
July fewer than one in 10 investors surveyed were bearish, while
the proportion of investors feeling bullish has dropped to 27%
from 40%, HSBC said.
Markets have ramped up their expectations for interest rate
hikes from the Federal Reserve and other central banks next year
to keep a lid on inflation. The investors surveyed said tighter
policy in developed economies was the single biggest risk to the
outlook for emerging markets.
"The global economy has faced a series of negative supply-side
shocks that are causing downside risks to growth and upside
risks to inflation," said Murat Ulgen, Global Head of EM
Research at HSBC.
"Emerging markets are a lot more susceptible to these shocks,
hence their financial markets have markedly underperformed those
of developed markets, and it seems like this 'stagflationary'
backdrop is still keeping EM investors at bay."
Emerging market assets have fared badly in 2021, with equities
underperforming and many currencies suffering big falls. Foreign
investors have been dumping local currency bonds.
Emerging market equities are now trading at their deepest
discount to developed markets since 2004, and the low valuation
of some assets could tempt investors to dive back in, HSBC's
Ulgen noted.
Still, the latest survey showed 37% of investors expect emerging
market growth to accelerate over the next 12 months, down from
60% in July.
Investors are downbeat on emerging currencies, on Asian hard and
local currency debt and emerging equities, while they like
central and eastern european assets, the survey report showed.
The survey canvassed 120 investors from 115 institutions
representing $572 billion in assets under management between
Sept. 28 and Nov. 17.
(Reporting by Tommy Reggiori Wilkes; Editing by Kim Coghill)
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