Congressional Republican opposition to Biden to harden as election nears
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[October 15, 2021]
By David Morgan
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - With the 2022
congressional elections less than 13 months away, President Joe Biden
and his Democratic allies could face a bigger challenge retaining
control of Congress as Republicans harden their opposition to his
legislative agenda.
Lawmakers are heading for a series of high-stakes partisan fights over
Biden's multitrillion-dollar Build Back Better bill to bolster the
social safety net and fight climate change and a $1 trillion
infrastructure bill, as well as urgent early December deadlines to avert
an embarrassing government shutdown or catastrophic debt default.
With the 2022 election campaign season ramping up, Republican
strategists and congressional aides say the confrontation could be the
death knell for any major new bipartisan initiatives.
"As long as there are items like the Democrats' massive social spending
package hanging over Congress, it's going to be very difficult to do big
things in a bipartisan way," said one Senate Republican aide, who added
that the fight over Biden's Build Back Better social plan could spill
into the new year.
Last week's vote to advance a temporary debt ceiling fix in the U.S.
Senate, in which 11 Republicans joined Democrats to move the measure
toward final passage, could be the last sign of bipartisanship for now.
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, whose debt ceiling offer broke
weeks of partisan gridlock, has put Democrats on notice that Republicans
will not help when the debt ceiling re-emerges in December. Party
strategists say partisanship could also be an issue when funding to keep
the government open expires on Dec. 3.
"Bipartisanship is over for the remainder of this Congress, most
likely," Republican strategist Ron Bonjean said.
Congressional aides say there could still be scope for further
bipartisan action on some legislative items including defense
authorization, China, Big Tech regulation and perhaps funding for
government operations.
Democrats blame Republicans for the partisan atmosphere in Congress,
saying McConnell displayed the Republican Party's "obstructionist" aims
in May when he declared "100%" opposition to the Biden agenda.
White House officials, who lived through the Republican blockade of
former President Barack Obama's domestic agenda, believe Biden played an
important role in the bipartisan debt ceiling agreement by hinting at
the possibility of filibuster, which would have reduced Republican
power, according to people familiar with the matter.
But Biden, who as a candidate pledged to turn the page on former
President Donald Trump's divisiveness, may have sacrificed a chance for
major bipartisan success by allowing House Democrats to link the $1
trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill to the larger package that
Democrats plan to pass without Republican vote, analysts said.
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U.S. Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) walks to his
office after it was announced that the U.S. Senate reached a deal to
pass a $480 billion increase in Treasury Department borrowing
authority, at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, U.S., October 7, 2021.
REUTERS/Leah Millis
The decision could have repercussions for moderate
Democrats, whose reelection Biden will need in 2022 if he hopes to
retain Democratic control of Congress in the run-up to the 2024
presidential election.
"The president is obviously making the decision that moving his
agenda is worth a one-party legislative strategy, and that is
digging a hole that he'll have to dig himself out of," said Jason
Grumet, president of the Bipartisan Policy Center think tank.
Democratic infighting over the size and scope of the Build Back
Better package could pose another challenge, with Biden's poll
numbers down and his administration weathering negative news on
Afghanistan, the COVID-19 pandemic, inflation, the global supply
chain and immigration.
"Even Democrats who are relatively well disposed toward Biden feel
that congressional fumbling reinforces the narrative that he is out
of touch," said Geoffrey Kabaservice, policy analyst at the
nonpartisan Niskanen Center think tank.
Democrats view passage of both Build Back Better and the
infrastructure bill as the path to safeguarding both their
congressional majorities and Biden's presidency, particularly if
combined with government funding along with existing legislation on
defense and U.S. competitiveness with China.
"That's a pretty good record. It's solid," said Democratic
strategist Steve Elmendorf.
But Republicans say that success for Biden on infrastructure and
social spending would likely curtail the scope for further major
Democratic initiatives ahead of 2022.
"If both bills pass, that's probably it for any significant
legislation between now and Election Day," said Republican
strategist Rory Cooper. "You're not going to get moderates to
stomach any more spending and a large chuck of their policy agenda
will have been enacted."
(Reporting by David Morgan; Editing by Daniel Wallis)
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