Explainer-How Biden's student loan forgiveness will impact U.S.
consumers
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[August 25, 2022] WASHINGTON
(Reuters) -President Joe Biden announced on Wednesday a long-awaited
plan to cancel billions of dollars in student debt, making good on a
campaign promise to aid debt-strapped younger Americans even as some
Republicans argue the move could worsen inflation.
HOW MUCH WILL BE CANCELED AND FOR WHOM? The government will cancel up to
$10,000 in student loan debt for borrowers making less than $125,000 a
year, or $250,000 for married couples. Students who received Pell
Grants, low-interest federal loans to benefit lower-income college
students, will have up to $20,000 of their debt canceled.
Cancelling $10,000 in student loan debt for every borrower would cost
the U.S. government $321 billion, the New York Federal Reserve
calculated in April, but the income cap means the actual cost will be
lower than that.
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The New York Fed estimated that forgiving $10,000 per borrower would
eliminate student debt for 11.8 million borrowers, or 31% of the total
number. The White House said that figure will be 20 million borrowers.
Nearly 90% of those borrowers will make under $75,000 a year, the White
House said.
HOW MUCH WILL THIS COST?
Biden administration officials declined to provide a specific
bottom-line figure on the total cost of the student debt relief plan,
saying it depended on how many people apply and qualify for it. But
private economists have estimated that it could add $300 billion to $600
billion to the federal debt.
The University of Pennsylvania-Wharton Budget Model estimated that a
one-time $10,000 debt forgiveness would cost $300 billion, while former
Harvard University economist Jason Furman tweeted a figure of "roughly"
$500 billion. The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget think tank
estimated that with $20,000 in debt relief for some borrowers, the cost
would reach $440 billion to $600 billion over 10 years.
HOW BIG IS AMERICA'S STUDENT DEBT PROBLEM? U.S. borrowers hold about
$1.75 trillion in student debt, according to the latest Federal Reserve
figures. The vast majority of that, some $1.62 trillion, is held by the
federal government.
The cost of higher education has skyrocketed in the United States in the
past three decades, doubling at private four-year colleges and
universities and rising even more than that at public four-year schools,
according to research from the nonprofit College Board.
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![](../images/082522PIX/busine65.jpg)
A student walks on the campus of Howard
University in Washington, U.S., January 31, 2022. REUTERS/Sarah
Silbiger
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The debt is split among 43 million borrowers, a figure that includes students
and their parents or other family members, but is dominated by borrowers under
age 40, the New York Fed said.
WHEN WILL BORROWERS WITH REMAINDER NEED TO REPAY?
A COVID-19 pandemic-related program that paused federal student loan payments,
started under Biden's Republican predecessor Donald Trump, will be extended
until the end of this year. Any borrowers with remaining balances after debt
forgiveness would start making payments again in January.
The Education Department is also proposing a rule to halve the amount
undergraduate borrowers need to pay monthly to 5% of discretionary income, and
forgive any remaining loan balances after 10 years.
IS THERE A TAX PENALTY?
Student loan amounts forgiven under the program will not be treated as taxable
income, unlike other canceled debts, according to a U.S. Treasury official. This
exclusion is consistent with a provision in last year's American Rescue Plan
COVID-19 relief act that made any student loan forgiveness tax-free through
2025.
WHO WILL NOT BENEFIT
Excluded from the program are borrowers who earn more than $125,000 a year, or
$250,000 for married couples. The White House said no high-income individual or
high-income household, which it defines as in the top 5% of incomes, will
qualify.
HOW COULD THIS IMPACT INFLATION?
Republicans opposed to the plan and some economists, including former Treasury
Secretary Larry Summers, have argued that new consumer spending power unleashed
by forgiving loans could drive up prices for homes, cars and other consumer
goods.
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The White House and some economists including Moody's Mark Zandi have said they
believe the impact of restarting loan payments in 2023 will be deflationary.
(Reporting by Nandita Bose, Alex Alper and David Lawder in Washington; Editing
by Heather Timmons, Will Dunham and Leslie Adler)
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