"Rates shock in 2022 to follow inflation shock of 2021 and
financial conditions will tighten sharply," analysts led by
Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist at the U.S.
investment bank said in a note.
Minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve's December policy meeting
this week showed that policymakers are preparing the decks for a
faster trajectory of interest rate increases. Money markets in
the U.S. and the U.K are expecting rate hikes as early as March.
BOFA strategists calculated that global central banks have
bought $26 billion of assets every trading day in the pandemic
era, pushing up global equity market capitalisaton by $133
billion on a daily basis.
On a cumulative basis, investors have also pumped a record $949
billion in equity inflows in 2021, more than the cumulative
inflow of the past two decades.
On a weekly basis, a $2 billion outflow from U.S. Treasuries was
the biggest in a year, energy stocks saw large inflows, while
European equities registered their first inflows in eight weeks.
Cash levels were also building, although there was no risk-off
sentiment in equity flows yet. BofA's 'private clients' which
manage $3.3 trillion of assets had 11.2% in cash, the highest
since last April, and the past week saw the biggest inflow to
cash since July 2020, BofA's note added.
(Reporting by Saikat Chatterjee; editing by Marc Jones)
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