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 Illinois could see over 200,000 more
votes in its general elections as a result of expanded vote-by-mail services,
but the higher turnout will not necessarily give an advantage to either major
party and might yield better-informed voters.
Recent legislation gives Illinoisans the ability to choose to automatically
receive mail-in ballots for all future primary and general elections with a
single application, rather than having to request a mail-in ballot before each
election. Illinois’ move to allow permanent voting by mail is largely similar to
the no-excuse absentee voting system that has been in place since 2005. Now
those who wish to vote by mail will only have to apply once instead of ahead of
each election.
The change can be expected to raise voter turnout, because giving voters more
consistent options on how to cast their ballots makes it easier for more
Illinoisans to participate in each election.
In theory, giving voters more options for casting a ballot lowers the costs
associated with voting. Empirical evidence from U.S. states that implemented
vote-by-mail systems mostly backs up the theory.
New research shows states that automatically send eligible voters mail-in
ballots while still providing in-person voting centers have seen an increase in
voter turnout of 2.1 to 2.2 percentage points. If Illinois’ permanent
vote-by-mail initiative were to experience similar results, voter turnout in
Illinois would likely increase by 206,000 to 216,000 voters in each general
election.
Should Illinois’ permanent vote-by-mail system be largely adopted
by voters, or the state were to begin sending mail-in ballots to all voters
while still allowing Illinoisans to cast their ballots in person, Illinois would
likely benefit from an increase in voter participation.
Some studies even suggest mailing ballots to all voters could yield even larger
increases in voter turnout, with some purporting an increase in voter turnout of
4% in the 2020 election. Studies of states that conduct all-mail voting report
an increase in voter turnout of 8% to 10%.
Regardless of the magnitude of the change, providing voters with additional
options for casting their ballots should serve to increase voter participation,
especially as long as traditional voting methods remain in place.
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Expanding voting options has been shown to encourage
participation among lower-propensity voting groups such as young people,
blue-collar workers, voters with less educational attainment and minority
voters. Despite disparate turnout effects among different groups, allowing
universal vote by mail does not appear to increase either major party’s vote
share. One plausible explanation is that voting by mail allows voters to
research the items on their ballot, leading to more informed choices.
Reforms to make voting easier have gained popularity in many states in recent
decades. Illinois’ push for a permanent vote-by-mail option is just the latest
development in expanded voting options for Illinois residents. In 2005 Illinois
adopted early-voting measures to allow residents to cast their ballots ahead of
Election Day, while in 2009 Illinois adopted no-excuse absentee voting that
allows any resident to request a ballot via mail.
While permanent vote by mail was largely opposed by Republicans, who alleged
expanding vote-by-mail options was politically motivated and designed to give a
partisan advantage to Democrats in future elections, the evidence shows neither
party inherently benefits from mail voting.
Republicans also raised concerns about the integrity of mail-in ballots and
potential for vote fraud. Studies consistently find there is no evidence mail
ballots increase electoral fraud. Still, those who have reservations about
voting by mail will have the option to cast their ballot in person on Election
Day.
With the June 28 primary election rapidly approaching, Illinois voters should
begin making plans for how they will be casting their ballots.
Important dates to remember:
June 23 – Last day for vote-by-mail request to be completed online or received
by the election authority if mailed.
June 27 – Last day of early, in-person voting.
June 28 – Polls are open 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. on Election Day. Last day to get
mail-in ballots postmarked. Last day to drop off mail-in ballots at the election
authority either in the office or by using a drop box, with both closing at 7
p.m.
July 12 – Last day election authorities will accept mail-in ballots that are
postmarked on or before Election Day, June 28.
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