Supply chain bottlenecks, which the conflict has aggravated,
mean that some economists' forecasts from the beginning of the
year for 3-4% economic growth in 2022 were "waste paper", BGA
President Dirk Jandura said in a statement.
"Companies are holding the line and supporting the German
government's stance in the sanctions against Russia," Jandura
added. "The current sanctions are also having an effect on us
... And nevertheless, the sanctions are right."
Some 62% of several hundred BGA member firms surveyed expected a
slowdown as a result of the conflict and 32% feared an
interruption of the economic recovery, the association said.
Increased pressure on suppliers stemming from the conflict meant
that a decline in inflation from around 5% could not be expected
in the medium-term, Jandura said.
Although Russia accounted for only 3% of Germany's foreign
trade, the impact of the Ukraine conflict is rippling through a
globally networked economy with changes to flight routes, for
example, leading to delayed and more expensive goods.
The BGA cited aluminium producers and the food trade as areas
that could be affected by bottlenecks, along with toilet paper
and kitchen roll, and chemical cleaning agents.
Transport problems were exacerbated by higher fuel costs and a
shortage of Ukrainian truck drivers, it said.
Germany's BGL Federal Association for road haulage, logistics
and waste disposal said the logistics sector in Europe was
suffering from the loss of more than 100,000 Ukrainian truck
drivers due to conscription orders.
To address record-high fuel prices, the BGL called for a crisis
summit with the government and tax relief for the logistics
sector.
"Companies are really desperate," said BGL chief Dirk Engelhardt.
"That's why we as an industry are calling for temporary support
from the state."
(Reporting by Paul Carrel and Rene Wagner; Editing by Madeline
Chambers, Kirsten Donovan)
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