Oil bull run continues as EU agrees to ban most Russian oil

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[May 31, 2022]  By Shadia Nasralla

LONDON (Reuters) -Oil prices extended a bull run on Tuesday after the EU agreed to a partial and phased ban on Russian oil and China decided to lift some coronavirus restrictions amid rising demand ahead of the peak U.S. and European summer driving season.

Models of oil barrels and a pump jack are displayed in front of a rising stock graph and "$100" in this illustration taken February 24, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

Brent crude for July, which expires on Tuesday, rose $2.11, or 1.7%, to $123.78 a barrel by 1103 GMT, after earlier rising to $124.10 - its highest since March 9. The August contract rose $1.57 to $119.17.

The premium of August-loading Brent contracts over a six-month spread hit a nine-week high at close to $15 a barrel, indicating current supply tightness.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was trading at $118.53 a barrel, up $3.46 in a fourth consecutive session of gains, up 3% from Friday's close, hitting its highest since March 9. There was no settlement on Monday due to a U.S. public holiday.

Both July-loading contracts are set to end May as the sixth straight month of rising prices.

European Union leaders agreed in principle to cut 90% of oil imports from Russia, the bloc's toughest sanction yet on Moscow since the invasion of Ukraine three months ago.

Once fully adopted, sanctions on crude oil will be phased in over six months and on refined products over eight months. The embargo exempts pipeline oil from Russia as a concession to Hungary.

"As two-third of the Russian crude oil exports are seaborne around 1.5 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil will need to be replaced by the EU," PVM analyst Tamas Varga said.

"This volume is actually closer to 2.1-2.2 million bpd as both Poland and Germany are planning to phase out pipeline purchases by the end of the year."

On the production side, OPEC+ is set to stick to a modest July output hike of 432,000 barrels per day, six OPEC+ sources said.

Oil prices found further support as Shanghai has announced an end to its COVID-19 lockdown, and will allow people in China's largest city to leave their homes and drive their cars from Wednesday.

(Additional reporting by Jeslyn Lerh; editing by Carmel Crimmins, Kirsten Donovan)

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