Republicans win U.S. House majority, setting stage for divided
government
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[November 17, 2022]
By Richard Cowan
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -Republicans were
projected to win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives on
Wednesday, setting the stage for two years of divided government as
President Joe Biden's Democratic Party held control of the Senate.
The victory gives Republicans the power to rein in Biden's agenda, as
well as to launch potentially politically damaging probes of his
administration and family, though it falls far short of the "red wave"
the party had hoped for.
The final call came after more than a week of ballot counting, when
Edison Research projected Republicans had won the 218 seats they needed
to control the House. Republican victory in California's 27th
Congressional district took the party over the line.
The party's current House leader, Kevin McCarthy, may have a challenging
road ahead as he will need his restive caucus to hold together on
critical votes, including funding the government and military at a time
when former President Donald Trump has launched another run for the
White House.
"Americans are ready for a new direction, and House Republicans are
ready to deliver," McCarthy said on Twitter.
The loss takes away some of Biden's power in Washington but on Wednesday
he congratulated McCarthy and said he would work across the aisle to
deliver results.
"The American people want us to get things done for them," Biden said in
a statement.
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said in a statement House Democrats "will
continue to play a leading role in supporting President Biden’s agenda -
with strong leverage over a scant Republican majority."
Democrats have been buoyed by voters' repudiation of a string of
far-right Republican candidates, most of them allies of Trump, including
Mehmet Oz and Doug Mastriano in Pennsylvania's Senate and governor's
races respectively, and Blake Masters in Arizona's Senate contest.
Even though the expected "red wave" of House Republicans never reached
shore, conservatives are sticking to their agenda.
In retaliation for two impeachment efforts by Democrats against Trump,
they are gearing up to investigate Biden administration officials and
the president's son Hunter's past business dealings with China and other
countries - and even Biden himself.
On the international front, Republicans could seek to tamp down U.S.
military and economic aid to Ukraine as it battles Russian forces.
THE TUG OF INFLATION AND ABORTION
The United States returns to its pre-2021 power-sharing in Washington,
with voters tugged in opposite directions by two main issues during the
midterm election campaigns.
High inflation gave Republicans ammunition for attacking liberals, who
won trillions of dollars in new spending during the COVID-19 pandemic.
With voters seeing their monthly grocery, gasoline and rent bills
rising, so rose the desire for punishing Democrats in the White House
and Congress.
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House Republican Leader Kevin McCarthy
(R-CA) speaks to reporters after McCarthy was nominated by fellow
Republicans to be their leader or the Speaker of the House if they
take control in the next Congress, following House Republican
leadership elections at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, U.S.,
November 15, 2022. REUTERS/Michael A. McCoy
At the same time, there was a tug to the left after the Supreme
Court's June ruling ending the right to abortion enraged a wide
swath of voters, bolstering Democratic candidates.
Edison Research, in exit polls, found that nearly one-third of
voters said inflation topped their concerns. For one-quarter of
voters, abortion was the primary concern and 61% opposed the
high-court decision in Roe v. Wade.
In the Los Angeles mayoral contest, Edison projected that Democrat
Karen Bass, a top progressive in Congress, had defeated Rick Caruso,
a billionaire former Republican who ran on a platform of reducing
crime and homelessness in the city. She stood at 53% of the vote so
far.
EYES ON THE PRESIDENTIAL RACE
While the midterms were all about elections for the U.S. Congress,
state governors, and other local offices, hovering over it all was
the 2024 U.S. presidential race.
Trump, who still polls as the top choice among Republicans for the
party's presidential nomination, nevertheless suffered a series of
setbacks as far-right candidates he either recruited or became
allied with performed poorly on Nov. 8. Some conservative Republican
voters voiced fatigue with Trump.
At the same time, Ron DeSantis coasted to a second term as governor
of Florida, defeating Democratic opponent Charlie Crist by nearly 20
percentage points. Trump reportedly was seething over the high marks
political pundits were doling out to DeSantis, seen as a potential
challenger to Trump in the 2024 field of Republican presidential
candidates.
The 2024 election will immediately influence many of the
legislative decisions House Republicans pursue as they flex their
muscles with a new-found majority, however narrow.
They have publicly talked about seeking cost savings in the Social
Security and Medicare safety-net programs and making permanent
2017-enacted tax cuts that are due to expire.
Conservatives are threatening to hold back on a needed debt-limit
increase next year unless significant spending reductions are
achieved.
"It's critical that we're prepared to use the leverage we have,"
far-right House Freedom Caucus Chairman Scott Perry told Reuters
last month.
First, the House must elect a speaker for the next two years.
McCarthy on Tuesday won the support of a majority of his caucus to
run for the powerful position to succeed Pelosi.
With such a narrow majority, McCarthy was working to get
commitments from nearly every member of his unruly Republican
members, having failed in just such an endeavor during a 2015 bid.
Freedom Caucus members, about four dozen in all, could hold the keys
to his winning the speakership and the viability of his speakership
writ large.
(Reporting by Richard Cowan and Costas Pitas; Writing by Richard
Cowan; Editing by Rosalba O'Brien)
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