2022 Logan County
Fall Farm Outlook Magazine

Fall Farm Intro 2022
A look at the year that was and quick answers to some lingering questions
By John Fulton

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[October 26, 2022]  Another growing season is rapidly coming to an end. Of course, it has been another year of “ups and downs” in everything from markets to rainfall. Many of the same concerns, and bright spots, from the past year or two remain at the top of the list for this fall. We are still dealing with supply chain issues, general concern about the economy, and changes in the climate.

Rainfall in our area was spotty at best. At my house in East Lincoln Township, I had 18.88 inches of rain from April through September. April and June were low on the totals with less than 1.5 inches each. September had just over two inches, while May, July and August all had over four inches. Although things remain dry in our area, we were blessed compared to areas to the east of us. Of course, the old expression about being “under the cloud” for rainfall held very true this year. Some areas continued to have exceptional rainfall amounts “when under the cloud,” while nearby areas missed those rains completely. The climate seems to be warming and having more intense rainfall in some areas. We could debate all day on the “cause” such as historical cycle patterns, greenhouse gas emissions, or combinations of these. The end results are variability in moisture for crops, and slightly warmer growing conditions.

Cover crop acceptance in production agriculture continues to increase. Touted benefits include better weed control, preventing nitrogen loss from fields, and removal of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. The use of cover crops may qualify producers for payments in regard to carbon sequestration. These programs are usually facilitated by companies providing for access to a carbon exchange where the credits are then bought by companies seeking to offset some of their carbon dioxide production. Between payments for tillage reductions and cover crops, it helps pay for the cover crop seed.

Farm expenses have been in the same upward trend as consumer goods, and maybe at a much larger percentage increase. This rapid increase will continue to put pressure on farm profitability. According to the U of I crop budgets from Gary Schnitkey et al, the anticipated farmer return is $8 per acre for corn and $43 per acre for soybeans for the upcoming year. Many assumptions go into those figures including yields of 227 for corn and 72 for soybeans, prices of $5.30 for corn and $12.70 for soybeans, and land cost of $341 per acre among them. This makes for a tight bottom line anticipated for farmers for next year.

The supply chain disruptions continue to affect the agriculture industry, as well as the home consumer. Availability of farm equipment, parts to service and repair equipment, and transportation for parts and equipment have become harder to come by, and more expensive. Some agricultural manufacturers are reportedly sold out for their anticipated 2023 production at this point. Many of the same issues affecting the automobile market are present in the farm equipment trade. Labor shortages, chip shortages, and transportation costs and backlogs are all affecting the availability of parts and equipment.

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The used equipment market also compares to what the auto market has seen. The narrowly averted rail transportation strike would have compounded availability of parts and shipment of commodities alike, not to mention the effects on the consumer goods market.

Agriculture producers continue to look for opportunities to diversify their operations to improve profitability. One of the fledgling crops is hemp. Sort of. Hemp production was big in the central Illinois area during the WWII era as it was used to produce rope. It went away, and now is coming back. Maybe rope isn’t the main product produced, but research is underway on how to use the entire plant rather than just producing CBD oil. The industry is still in its infancy, and hemp is really a specialty crop at this point. As with any specialty crop, available markets are usually a challenge. When markets become more available on a local basis, the industry will grow rapidly.

Let’s look forward to a safe and bountiful harvest as we finish up the 2022 growing season, and a good head start for the next year!

[John Fulton]
 
 

Read all the articles in our new
2022 Fall Farm Outlook Magazine

Title
CLICK ON TITLES TO GO TO PAGES
Page
A look at the year that was 4
Is the farming economy improving post pandemic? 7
Is the broken supply chain fixed? 10
Is hemp an option for Logan County? 17
Is the rail crisis resolved? 20
USDA funded climate smart programs 25
Are cover crops all they are made out to be? 29
A look at the 2022 season "through the lens" 35


 

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