Tech giants feel pain as cloud spending cuts suggest slowdown
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[October 28, 2022]
By Tiyashi Datta, Jane Lanhee Lee and Chavi Mehta
(Reuters) -In a further sign that large
companies may be girding against an imminent recession, U.S. tech giants
Amazon.com, Microsoft and Intel said this week that customers were
taking an axe to cloud and datacenter spending.
Cloud services for years has been one of the largest and most dependable
sources of growth for some of the biggest tech companies, including
during the pandemic as people worked and studied from home.
Now investors are looking to see whether there is a glut in capacity
that will lead to investment cuts as companies deal with rising costs
amid soaring inflation, while interest rate increases have squeezed
consumer demand. The strong dollar has been a particular headwind.
Growth in Amazon Web Services (AWS), the firm's lucrative cloud unit
serving enterprises, has ticked down consistently in the past four
quarters, adjusted for changes in forex.
Net sales in the business grew 28% in the July-September period versus
39% a year earlier, the slowest since the fourth quarter of 2020. They
fell short of a 31% average analysts' forecast.
Amazon shares slumped 12% after the bell on Thursday after it forecast a
slowdown in sales growth for the holiday season, erasing some $140
billion from its market value and capping a week of dismal earnings from
global tech firms.
"The AWS slowdown is a clear sign that businesses are beginning to trim
costs, so this will likely put more of a squeeze on Amazon's bottom line
in the coming quarters," said Andrew Lipsman, principal analyst at
Insider Intelligence.
Microsoft's cloud business Azure, which had supercharged revenue growth
at the software giant for years, dropped to 35% growth in the
July-September quarter from 50% a year earlier, missing estimates of a
36.5% increase according to Visible Alpha.
The company projected another drop in the holiday quarter.
Alphabet's Google Cloud revenue grew 38% in the quarter, beating
estimates. That was a silver lining in an otherwise gloomy quarter but a
far cry from the 45% growth the company posted a year earlier.
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Amazon boxes are seen stacked for
delivery in the Manhattan borough of New York City, January 29,
2016. REUTERS/Mike Segar/File Photo
EUROPE, CHINA DRAG
Speaking broadly about cloud deployments from AWS, Microsoft and
Google-parent Alphabet, YipitData research specialist Matt Wegner
said: "We really first started to see (a slowdown) in April ... and
it's continued. The European region is a source of weakness."
Eurozone inflation is close to 10% and European Central Bank
President Christine Lagarde on Thursday acknowledged that the risk
of an economic contraction is on the rise due to soaring energy
prices and higher interest rates.
Intel, which makes chips for data center customers including AWS,
said third-quarter revenue from that business slumped 27% and
profits were nearly wiped out. The business was hurt partly due to
soft demand from Chinese enterprise customers, Intel boss Pat
Gelsinger said.
The company cut its profit and revenue forecast for the year,
reflecting economic uncertainty that Gelsinger said he expected to
last into next year and that it was taking time to ramp up sales
into datacenters.
Cloud services typically help companies save money so budget cuts in
this sector could be especially worrying, indicating that companies
think cost is king going into tougher times.
Businesses usually build out more cloud and datacenter capacity than
needed and then wait for it to be absorbed, said Dean McCarron,
president of Mercury Research, which tracks chipmakers.
"The "build more" happened in 2021 and we've been coasting down
since then," said McCarron. He added that he expects Intel's
datacenter weakness to be bottoming soon "though there are larger
macroeconomic concerns about how much improvement we might see on
the next growth cycle."
(Reporting by Tiyashi Datta and Chavi Mehta in Bengaluru, Jeffrey
Dastin in Palo Alto and Jane Lanhee Lee in Oakland, California;
Writing by Sayantani Ghosh; Editing by Richard Pullin)
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