Cryptoverse: Tether tightens grip on wobbling world of stablecoins
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[February 21, 2023] By
Medha Singh and Lisa Pauline Mattackal
(Reuters) - The world of stablecoins is suddenly looking shaky.
Seismic shifts may be afoot in the $137 billion market after New
York-based Paxos Trust Company, which mints Binance's stablecoin, said
it would cease issuing new BUSD tokens after U.S. regulators labeled the
asset an unregistered security.
The U.S. move has left investors questioning the future shape of the
market for stablecoins, tokens that are usually backed by traditional
assets like dollars and U.S. Treasuries to tame the wild swings that
characterize cryptocurrencies.
The immediate impact hasn't been negative for the stablecoin market as a
whole, though; it's actually seen its total value grow by $2 billion
since the Paxos announcement on Feb. 13.
"There's way too much demand for dollar-based stablecoins for them to go
away," said Alex Miller, CEO at bitcoin developer network Hiro.
Instead rivals are vying to cash in on the woes of BUSD, the world's
third-biggest stablecoin, whose market value has shrunk to $12.9 billion
from $16.1 billion, with its market share narrowing to 9.4% from 12.1%,
according to CoinGecko.com.
Market leader tether (USDT) has been a big beneficiary, adding $1.9
billion to its market capitalization to hit $70.3 billion since the
news. It now commands 52.6% of the stablecoin market, up from just over
51%.
Circle's USD Coin, the second-biggest stablecoin, edged up over $700
million to $42 billion, lifting its market share to 31.3% from 30.9%.
AND THE WINNER IS.. TETHER
Stablecoins are a key part of the cryptosphere, with their steadier
value meaning they're used as to facilitate transfers between
cryptocurrencies or into regular cash. Traders also use these tokens to
hedge their positions, and hence dwindling market value is associated
with falling liquidity and leverage in the broader crypto market.
Markus Thielen, head of research and strategy at crypto firm Matrixport,
said the Paxos announcement and subsequent slump in BUSD had caused a
big shift in the stablecoin market.
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Smartphone with Tether logo is placed on
displayed U.S. dollars in this illustration taken, May 12, 2022.
REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
"And tether wins."
Broader crypto market impact also seems to have been contained with
bitcoin rising 14% over the past week to $24,902, shrugging off
worries that central banks will keep raising rates.
Among the reasons for the sanguine reaction is that BUSD is largely
used to trade on Binance, the world's largest crypto trading
platform, while its usage is limited in other parts of the crypto
world, according to analytics firm Kaiko.
"While BUSD is used in DeFi, it is not systemically important to the
ecosystem," Kaiko's Riyad Carey said.
BETTING ON FUTURE PRICES
The developments around Binance's stablecoin have also boosted
trading on competing platforms; since Feb. 1, Binance's bitcoin
liquidity is down almost 30% while U.S.-based Coinbase's is up
nearly 15%, according to Kaiko.
Daily open interest for bitcoin to BUSD perpetual swaps has dropped
from over 17,000 bitcoin at the beginning of February to 13,726
bitcoin, Binance data showed, pointing to traders withdrawing bets
on future prices for BUSD.
While some uncertainty remains on the impact of the U.S. Securities
and Exchange Commission ruling on other stablecoins, the market
appears to have adjusted, according to some crypto players.
"This is unlikely to represent a critical large structural change to
the market, for now," said Vetle Lunde, analyst at Arcane Research.
He added: "Enforcement against USDC or the non-U.S. domiciled USDT,
could have more dramatic implications."
(Reporting by Medha Singh and Lisa Pauline Mattackal in Bengaluru;
Editing by Tom Wilson and Pravin Char)
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