Futures point to more gains on Wall St as inflation eases

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[July 13, 2023]  By Johann M Cherian and Bansari Mayur Kamdar

(Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures rose on Thursday following a sharp rally on Wall Street in the previous session as data showed inflation was cooling, with investors looking ahead to producer price data due later in the day.

A slower rise in prices has boosted hopes that the Federal Reserve could soon end its monetary tightening campaign.

Economists polled by Reuters expect producer inflation to have eased to 0.4% over the 12 months through June from 1.1% in the previous month. The data is due at 8:30 a.m. ET.

On Wednesday, the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 closed at over a year's high, with megacap stocks leading gains after the CPI report showed consumer prices registered their smallest annual increase in more than two years.

Traders have cemented bets of a 25-basis-point rate hike later in July, but have toned down possibilities of another rate hike this year, with yield on the two-year treasury note hitting its lowest in nearly four weeks. [US/]

"Today's PPI numbers for June are expected to reinforce the disinflation trends being seen rippling out through the global economy," Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets wrote in a note.

"But more importantly (it will) signal that U.S. rate hikes are done, bar the move in two weeks' time."

At 6:50 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 54 points, or 0.16%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 15 points, or 0.33%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 107.25 points, or 0.69%.

As U.S. inflation cools and growth remains resilient, bullish investors are now counting on the second-quarter earnings season to provide more fuel for the rally in stocks.

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Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 7, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

PepsiCo added 2.2% in premarket trading on raising its annual revenue and profit forecasts for the second time, banking on resilient demand for its snacks and beverages as well as price hikes.

Delta Air Lines gained 3.1% after it lifted its full-year profit outlook following stronger-than-expected second-quarter earnings on a relentless post-pandemic travel boom.

Overall, earnings for the S&P 500 constituents are expected to have dropped 6.4% in the second quarter, Refinitiv data showed.

Among other movers, Walt Disney rose 1.6% after the film conglomerate's board extended Chief Executive Officer Robert Iger's contract by two years.

Meta Platforms, which recently launched Twitter-rival Threads, outpaced gains among big growth stocks, adding 1.8%. It is set to release a commercial artificial intelligence (AI) model, as per a report.

Markets will parse remarks by policymakers during the day, including Fed Board Governor Christopher Waller, to gauge the tone of the central bank on monetary policy tightening.

Initial jobless claims data for the previous week is also awaited at 8:30 a.m. ET.

(Reporting by Johann M Cherian and Bansari Mayur Kamdar in Bengaluru; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty and Maju Samuel)

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