DeSantis agenda wins in Florida but could cost him in 2024 -Reuters/Ipsos
poll
Send a link to a friend
[March 23, 2023]
By Jason Lange and Gram Slattery
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Florida Governor Ron DeSantis' policy agenda
includes new restrictions on abortion and further loosening gun laws,
stances that may help him in his expected run for the 2024 Republican
presidential nomination but could hurt his chances of actually being
elected, according to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll.
The results of the March 14-20 survey, which gauged national opinion
around policies DeSantis backs, underscore the challenges - as well as
some opportunities - that await him should he challenge former President
Donald Trump for the nomination.
Only a third of Americans want a presidential candidate who supports
severe restrictions on abortion rights and most voters oppose allowing
people to carry concealed firearms without a permit, according to the
poll of 4,410 adults.
Should DeSantis run, his positions on abortion and guns will likely help
win support of Republican primary voters in the early months of 2024,
but may hurt him with the independent and more moderate voters he would
need to win, the data suggested.
"If a candidate ran on these issues, Democrats are going to have an
advantage," said William Frey, an expert on polling and elections at the
Brookings Institution in Washington.
Some 65% of respondents - including 46% of Republicans and 68% of
independents - said they were less likely to vote for a presidential
candidate in 2024 who supports laws banning or severely restricting
abortion access.
Sixty-three percent - including 53% of Republicans - said they opposed
laws that would allow people to carry concealed guns without a licensing
requirement.
DeSantis last year signed a Florida law banning abortions after 15
weeks, saying the measure would protect "the rights of unborn children."
His allies in Florida's Republican-controlled legislature have proposed
a six-week ban. Asked in February if he would sign into law such a
proposal, DeSantis urged lawmakers to pass legislation he could sign.
He supports another bill in Florida to allow people to carry concealed
weapons without a permit or training, saying in March that this would be
in line with the U.S. Constitution.
DeSantis' political team did not respond to a request for comment.
The governor, who won reelection in November by about 19 percentage
points, has defended his approach to government as being focused on
fulfilling campaign promises. "I am not doing polls to tell me what to
do," he said during a March 10 visit to Iowa, a state with a leading
role in selecting presidential candidates.
Republicans had a weaker showing than expected in November's
congressional elections after Democratic turnout was boosted by a U.S.
Supreme Court ruling striking down the national right to an abortion.
The online Reuters/Ipsos poll had a credibility interval of between
around two and four percentage points.
[to top of second column]
|
Florida Governor and likely 2024
Republican presidential candidate Ron DeSantis speaks as part of his
Florida Blueprint tour in Pinellas Park, Florida, U.S. March 8,
2023. REUTERS/Scott Audette/File Photo
TRANSGENDER FOCUS
Some of DeSantis's other positions could help him connect to voters
in the United States, which stands out among advanced economies for
its conservatism.
At his urging, a Florida medical board last year effectively barred
medications or surgery for new pediatric patients seeking gender
transition.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll found 61% of respondents nationwide,
including 66% of independents, prefer a candidate who opposes
allowing medical treatment for minors related to gender identity.
That could give DeSantis an advantage in the Republican nomination
contest, said Alex Conant, a Republican strategist who worked on
Senator Marco Rubio's 2016 presidential campaign.
"Clearly social issues are where the energy is in the Republican
base," said Conant.
DeSantis has become his party's most prominent player in the
country's "culture wars" since becoming governor in 2019. During the
coronavirus pandemic, he was the national face of resistance to mask
and vaccine mandates.
He has also increased his conservative reputation by clashing with
Walt Disney after the company's CEO criticized a DeSantis-backed
measure in Florida that restricts classroom instruction of gender
and sexual orientation. It could be expanded to include all students
in Florida public schools.
The poll showed Americans are sharply divided on whether schools
should teach children about sexual orientation and gender identity,
with 72% of Democrats in favor and 76% of Republicans opposed.
Respondents who identify as politically independent were more
divided, with 56% saying they preferred a candidate who would keep
teachers out of the discussion.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll found that nationwide, women were more likely
than men to oppose severe abortion restrictions and permitless
concealed guns.
Seventy-four percent of women age 18-39 were turned off by
presidential candidates in favor of severe abortion restrictions,
while 64% of women age 40 and older opposed removing licensing
requirements for concealed weapons.
Mike Morey, a Democratic strategist, said a focus on cultural issues
will work against the nominee in the general election.
"This will become a huge burden for whoever wins the Republican
nomination," he said.
(Reporting by Jason Lange and Gram Slattery; Editing by Scott Malone
and Grant McCool)
[© 2023 Thomson Reuters. All rights
reserved.]This material may not be published,
broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
Thompson Reuters is solely responsible for this content. |