Stocks rise after bank sale underpins investor confidence
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[March 28, 2023] By
Amanda Cooper
LONDON (Reuters) -Global stocks rose and the dollar eased on Tuesday,
after a deal backed by the U.S. regulator for First Citizens BancShares
to buy up Silicon Valley Bank helped alleviate some of the recent
concern about the health of the banking sector.
U.S. banking regulators said on Monday they planned to tell Congress
that the overall financial system remains on a solid footing after
recent bank failures, but will comprehensively review their policies in
a bid to prevent future collapses.
With a little more stability returning to the banking sector, investors
felt confident enough to ditch some of their recent safe-haven
purchases, meaning the price of bonds and gold edged lower, as did the
dollar.
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The MSCI All-World index, which is showing a loss of 0.1% so far in
March, was up 0.2%. European shares were roughly flat on the day.
U.S. stock futures, the S&P 500 e-minis, held roughly unchanged on the
day, suggesting the benchmark index might not build on Monday's gains at
the opening bell later.
Federal Reserve Governor Philip Jefferson said on Monday that stress
among small banks could hit small businesses hardest.
Not only that, the extreme market volatility has forced a lot of
investors to close positions, and prompted others to capitalise on some
of those big price moves by betting those swings will die down, known as
mean reversion trading.
This means that a lot of the confidence that appears to have returned to
the markets might not be built on much other than technical factors,
according to Marc Ostwald, chief global economist for ADM Investor
Services.
"It may not be until after month-end, possibly even after the Easter
break, until it comes clear how much of the rebound in battered bank
stocks and risk assets has been to do with those quarter-end flows,
short covering and mean reversion trades, rather than a genuine sense
that the worst has past for the banking sector," he said.
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![](../images/032823PIX/busine63.jpg)
A floor trader walks during afternoon
trading at the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in Hong Kong, China
September 26, 2016. Picture taken September 26, 2016. REUTERS/Bobby
Yip
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The stress both in, and about, the banking sector has clouded the
picture for monetary policy. Even with inflation gradually
subsiding, it's harder for investors to see how central banks might
balance the need to anchor price stability with the need to keep
markets running smoothly.
Tighter credit conditions to help temper inflation will provide a
headwind to the economy, but won't derail it, analysts at Goldman
Sachs said.
"We do not expect this to be a hurricane that pushes the economy
into recession and forces aggressive Fed easing," they said in a
note on Tuesday.
U.S. Treasury yields edged up, reflecting a degree of relief that
the problems in the banking sector can be contained.
Benchmark 10-year yields rose 4 basis points to 3.572%, while
two-year yields rose 7 bps to 4.037%, still some way off the almost
16-year high of 5.084% on March 8.
Oil prices extended some of the previous day's gains. Brent crude
rose 0.4% to $78.43 a barrel, while U.S. futures rose 0.37% to
$73.09.
Crude prices rose more than $3 on Monday after a halt to some
exports from Iraq's Kurdistan region added to worries about oil
supplies.
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Gold steadied after a bout of profit taking on last week's rally
above $2,000 an ounce. Spot gold was last down unchanged on the day
at $1,957 an ounce.
(Editing by Sam Holmes, Giles Elgood and Sharon Singleton)
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