In its summer outlook released on Wednesday, the North American
Electric Reliability Corp (NERC) put the U.S. West, Midwest,
Texas, Southeast, and New England, along with Ontario in Canada,
at elevated risk of "insufficient operating reserves in
above-normal conditions."
NERC said extreme heat events put the U.S. West at risk of an
energy supply shortfall as it relies on regional energy
transfers to meet demand at peak or when solar output is
diminished.
"Wildfire risks to the transmission network, which often
accompany these wide-area heat events, can limit electricity
transfers and result in localized load shedding," NERC said.
In the U.S. Midwest, NERC said the Midcontinent ISO could face
challenges in meeting above-normal peak demand if wind generator
energy output is lower than expected.
In Texas, NERC said resources are adequate for peak demand of
the average summer as the state has added over 4 gigawatt of new
solar capacity to its grid since last year.
But the group warned that "dispatchable generation may not be
sufficient to meet reserves during an extreme heat-wave that is
accompanied by low winds."
NERC said New England and Ontario may need to rely on non-firm
imports during extreme demand or low resource conditions, while
the Southeast is vulnerable due to flat growth in generating
resources.
Limited operation of coal-fired power plants due to new
environmental regulations, low water levels on major reservoirs,
unexpected tripping of wind and solar resources, and curtailed
transfers to areas in need also posed reliability concerns, NERC
added.
NERC has become more assertive in warning about reliability
concerns in recent years after power grid operators were forced
to impose rotating outages in California in August 2020 and in
Texas in February 2021.
(Reporting by Deep Vakil in Bengaluru, editing by Deepa
Babington)
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