Futures edge higher, Microsoft shines

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[November 20, 2023]  (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures ticked higher on Monday after a rally in the previous week driven by bets U.S. interest rates had peaked, while Microsoft outpaced megacap peers on news that former OpenAI head Sam Altman will join the software giant.   

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo

Microsoft's shares advanced 2.4% before the bell after CEO Satya Nadella said Altman is set to join the tech giant to lead a new advanced AI research team.

Other megacap stocks were mixed, with Nvidia edging 0.6% higher, while Alphabet slipped 1.1%.

The three main U.S. stock indexes have staged a stellar rebound in November, posting gains for the third week in a row on Friday as evidence of easing U.S. inflation supported bets that the Federal Reserve was done raising interest rates.

The benchmark S&P 500 is now only 2% away from its highest level this year reached in July.

Traders have nearly fully priced in the likelihood that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in December, with odds of an at least 25 basis point rate cut in May standing at about 60%, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.

"While a ‘wait and see mood’ has descended, confidence is still quietly bubbling that interest rate cuts could be on the horizon," Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown wrote in a note.

"Concerns that there could be another grinch-like hike from the Fed in December have retreated and more bets are being placed that a reduction could come in the Spring."

A number of catalysts will set the tone for markets this week.

Chip designer Nvidia is due to report quarterly results on Tuesday, wrapping up the third-quarter earnings season for the "Magnificent Seven" group of megacap companies.

The Fed is expected to issue minutes of its November meeting on Tuesday, which will be parsed for clues on the direction of U.S. interest rates. Black Friday sales will provide a gauge on the state of U.S. consumer spending.

At 5:22 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 28 points, or 0.08%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 4.5 points, or 0.1%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 28.75 points, or 0.18%.

(Reporting by Amruta Khandekar; Editing by Maju Samuel)

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