Deere forecasts downbeat profit as high borrowing costs pinch demand

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[November 22, 2023]  By Bianca Flowers and Shivansh Tiwary
 
(Reuters) -Farm equipment maker Deere & Co forecast 2024 profit below analysts' expectations on Wednesday as high borrowing costs and squeezed budgets dented demand for its products.  

Equipment for sale is seen at a John Deere dealer in Denver, Colorado, U.S. May 14, 2015. REUTERS/Rick Wilking/

Its shares were down 7.1% in premarket trading.

The world's largest farm equipment maker expects 2024 net income between $7.75 billion and $8.25 billion, compared with analysts' average expectations, according to LSEG data, of $9.33 billion.

“While our end markets will fluctuate, we remain focused on disciplined execution," the company's Chief Executive, John May said in a statement.

Despite the Illinois-based manufacturer beating Wall Street profit estimates, Deere's stock slump is consistent with peers such as Caterpillar that have outperformed forecasts.

Demand for its large tractors and combines has allowed the company to increase prices to help offset higher raw materials, logistics and freight costs.

However the mounting dealer inventories that the company noted in previous quarters are becoming a red flag to investors, analysts say, leading to speculation demand might have peaked for the manufacturer and other cyclical industrial companies.

Persistent inflation continues to drag on consumer appetite for big-ticket items. Experts say weaker consumer sentiment is a sign Americans are being more frugal, including farmers.

Net farm income is forecast to decline 18.2% from a year ago, according to the Agriculture Department.

Sales for production and precision agriculture products for crop care such as fertilizers and applicators have consistently outpaced other equipment divisions, but revenue for the segment fell 6% from the year prior.

Deere's net income rose to $2.37 billion, or $8.26 per share, for the quarter through October from $2.25 billion, or $7.44 per share, a year earlier.

Total net sales and revenue fell about 1% to $15.41 billion for the fourth quarter ended on Oct. 31.

(Reporting by Shivansh Tiwary in Bengaluru; Editing by Anil D'Silva, Jan Harvey and Louise Heavens)

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