The
case before the conservative Florida Supreme Court concerns the
state's current ban on most abortions after 15 weeks, which took
effect after the U.S. Supreme Court last year overturned a
national right to abortion.
The outcome will also determine the fate of a stricter six-week
ban, which has been on hold since Governor Ron DeSantis signed
it into law in April. Under a "trigger" provision, the law would
take effect only if the court upholds the 15-week restriction.
The case carries significant consequences for abortion access
throughout the South. Most of Florida's neighboring states have
installed even more stringent limits.
Out-of-state residents accounted for 9% of the 44,475 abortions
performed in Florida this year through July, up from 6.1% in
2021 and 8.1% in 2022, when states began imposing new bans
following the Supreme Court's decision, according to state data.
DeSantis, who is running for the 2024 Republican presidential
nomination, has faced criticism from some wealthy supporters for
backing the six-week ban, which they view as too extreme. He has
sidestepped questions about whether he would support a national
ban as president.
Democrats are expected to put abortion at the center of next
year's campaign after the issue helped them avoid major losses
in the 2022 midterm elections.
At issue in the case on Friday is whether a voter-approved
guarantee of the right to privacy in the state constitution
should still extend to abortion, as the Florida Supreme Court
ruled in 1989.
Lawyers for the DeSantis administration have asserted that the
1989 case should be overturned. The group of abortion providers
who filed the lawsuit, including Planned Parenthood, have argued
that there is no legal basis to do so.
Most legal observers expect the conservative court to side with
DeSantis and uphold the 15-week ban.
Five of the Florida Supreme Court's seven justices are DeSantis
appointees; the other two were appointed by former Governor
Charlie Crist, who was a Republican at the time but has since
switched parties. One justice, Charles Canady, is married to a
state representative who co-sponsored the six-week ban.
"If the Florida Supreme Court is being faithful to its own
precedent, it's actually an easy case: the 15-week ban should be
found unconstitutional under the Florida state constitution,"
said Ciara Torres-Spelliscy, a law professor at Florida-based
Stetson University.
But if the court throws out the 1989 decision, Torres-Spelliscy
said, it would be nearly impossible to mount a successful legal
challenge to the six-week ban.
Activists are pursuing an alternative track, collecting
signatures for a potential 2024 referendum that would ask voters
to add explicit abortion protections to the state constitution.
(Reporting by Joseph Ax; Editing by Colleen Jenkins and David
Gregorio)
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