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In a wide-ranging interview on X spaces that suffered multiple
technology glitches, Musk also told Norway wealth fund CEO
Nicolai Tangen that AI was constrained by the availability of
electricity and that the next version of Grok, the AI chatbot
from his xAI startup, was expected to be trained by May.
"If you define AGI (artificial general intelligence) as smarter
than the smartest human, I think it's probably next year, within
two years," Musk said when asked about the timeline for
development of AGI.
The billionaire, who also co-founded OpenAI, said a lack of
advanced chips was hampering the training of Grok's version 2
model.
Musk founded xAI last year as a challenger to OpenAI, which he
has sued for abandoning its original mission to develop AI for
the benefit of humanity and not for profit. OpenAI denies the
allegations.
Musk said training the Grok 2 model took about 20,000 Nvidia
H100 GPUs, adding that the Grok 3 model and beyond will require
100,000 Nvidia H100 chips.
But he added that while a shortage of chips were a big
constraint for the development of AI so far, electricity supply
will be crucial in the next year or two.
Speaking about electric-vehicles, Musk reiterated Chinese
carmakers are "the most competitive in the world" and pose "the
most toughest competitive challenges" to Tesla.
He has previously warned that Chinese rivals will demolish
global rivals without trade barriers.
Musk also addressed a union strike in Sweden against Tesla,
saying "I think the storm has passed on that front."
Tangen said Norway's $1.5 trillion sovereign wealth fund, one of
Tesla's largest shareholders, had met with the EV company's
chair last month and received an update on the situation.
(Reporting Akash Sriram in Bengaluru, Sheila Dang in Austin,
Hyunjoo Jin in San Francisco and Marie Mannes in Stockholm;
writing by Peter Henderson; Editing by Maju Samuel)
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