The New York commission's new map is slightly advantageous to
Democrats but not overwhelmingly so, according to experts. The
lines appear to boost Democratic chances of ousting one
first-term Republican while making two other districts - one
held by Democrats and one by Republicans - safer for the
incumbents.
Republicans' narrow majority in the chamber will be 219-213 when
Democrat Tom Suozzi is sworn in in the weeks ahead following his
Tuesday night election win.
Every U.S. state must redraw congressional districts after the
decennial census, which also determines how many seats each
state is apportioned. New York lost a seat in the 2020 count.
In 2022, a judge jettisoned the map New York had drawn and put
in place a more politically competitive one. Partly as a result,
Republicans flipped four Democratic seats, almost
single-handedly giving the party its majority in the House.
In December 2023, the state's highest court tossed that map and
ordered a new one. In two 9-1 votes on Thursday, the commission
approved its new map and sent it to the legislature.
"This vote is ultimately a victory for the commission process
and for democratic - small 'd' - democratic participation in the
state of New York," said Ken Jenkins, the chair of the New York
State Independent Redistricting Commission, at the public
meeting.
The state legislature, controlled by a Democratic supermajority,
must approve any new map and could draw its own more favorable
one in a process known as gerrymandering. The legal battle that
spawned this map initially kicked off when Democrats drew a
heavily gerrymandered map that aimed to give their party an
advantage in 22 of 26 districts.
All 435 seats in the U.S. House are up for re-election in
November.
The narrow majority has proven fractious for House leaders.
This week alone, Speaker Mike Johnson yanked a surveillance bill
from a floor vote, saying he was still working to reach
consensus on it, and the House held a second vote to impeach
Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas after the first
one failed when three Republicans opposed it.
(Reporting by Makini Brice in Washington and Joseph Ax in New
York; Editing by Matthew Lewis)
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