UBS lifts 2024 year-end S&P 500 target to 5,150, tops big banks

[January 16, 2024]  (Reuters) - UBS Global Research increased its year-end target for the S&P 500 on Tuesday to 5,150, marking the highest projection among major global banks and indicating a potential 8% upside from current levels.  

A UBS logo is seen next to Credit Suisse at the Bahnhofstrasse before a news conference of Swiss bank UBS in Zurich Switzerland, August 30, 2023. REUTERS/Denis Balibouse/File Photo

The European brokerage had earlier expected the index to end the year at 4,850.

UBS' view on the benchmark index is supported by growing bets of the U.S. Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this year, a decline in inflation and resilient earnings expectations.

It also expects a 6.3% growth in earnings of S&P 500 companies this year, below consensus estimate of 11.4%.

"While earnings should drive 2024 returns, falling interest rates should support incrementally higher multiples," UBS strategists said in a note.

The index ended last year with an annual gain of more than 24%. It closed about 0.1% higher on Friday at 4,783.83 points.

(Reporting by Roshan Abraham in Bengaluru; Editing by Sonia Cheema and Dhanya Ann Thoppil)

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