Echoing trends over the last two years, the higher interest
rates have contributed to rising late payments and defaults on
loans behind offices and other commercial real estate (CRE)
properties so far in 2024.
The overall rate of delinquencies, or late payments, on loans
behind commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) rose to
2.45% in June from 2.42% in May, according to a report by Fitch
Ratings released on Friday. The volume of 30-day delinquencies
increased to $1.92 billion from $1.86 billion over the same
period.
The post-pandemic work-from-home trend has led to pronounced
trouble among office loans in particular. Office loans made up
55% ($1.05 billion) of 30-day delinquent loans last month, after
accounting for 45% in May, the report said.
Three of the largest newly late loans last month were backed by
offices, according to the report.
The volume of loans newly 60 or more days' delinquent ticked up
to $1.35 billion last month, slightly higher than $1.32 billion
in May, Fitch noted. There were 514 loans worth $13.7 billion
reported at least 60 days delinquent, in foreclosure, did not
sell at foreclosure auction or matured and non-performing.
A $244 million loan behind the Illinois Center, a two-tower
office property in Chicago, became 60 days delinquent last
month, the report said. A $120 million loan behind 10 office
buildings in Mountain View, California, defaulted at maturity.
Office vacancies hit a record 20.1% in the second quarter,
Moody's Ratings said in a July 3 report. It was the third
consecutive quarter that the vacancy rate broke the previous
record and the first time ever that office vacancies reached
20%.
"The slow bleed occurring in the office sector has led to a
steady rise in the vacancy rate as permanent shifts in working
behavior have outlasted the initial wave of the pandemic four
years ago," Moody's analysts wrote in their report.
(Reporting by Matt Tracy; Editing by Leslie Adler and Emelia
Sithole-Matarise)
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