After dramatic tax win, Kenyan protesters plot next moves
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[June 28, 2024]
By Aaron Ross and Giulia Paravicini
NAIROBI (Reuters) - After their stunning success forcing the government
to shelve $2.7 billion in tax hikes, young Kenyan activists are setting
their sights higher, taking aim at deeply ingrained corruption and
misgovernance.
Protesters say the finance bill President William Ruto abandoned on
Wednesday was only a symptom of the problems plaguing a country where
many young people face dwindling job prospects despite strong economic
growth.
The movement has little precedent in its mass mobilization of Kenyans
across ethnic and regional divisions while rejecting any kind of
political leadership. Protests in Kenya have historically been led by
elites, often ending in power-sharing deals that yielded few tangible
benefits for demonstrators.
Protesters now face the challenge of maintaining unity and momentum
while pursuing broader, less immediate goals. They will also have to
decide how to respond to Ruto's offer of dialogue, which the president
made on Wednesday without offering specifics.
Writer and activist Nanjala Nyabola said most of those involved in the
recent protests were motivated by legitimate, strongly held grievances
with the government.
"Until those grievances are addressed, it's unlikely that they're going
to be willing to make concessions."
How the diffuse and leaderless movement, which largely organized via
social media, pursues its objectives moving forward remains an open
question - and a source of internal debate.
Christine Odera, co-chair of the Kenya Coalition on Youth, Peace and
Security, a civil society organization, said there was a need for it to
develop more formalized structures to advance the interests of young
people and speak to the government.
"If we go organically then we might lose the whole conversation," said
Odera, who participated in the protests. "The president has said we need
to have conversations. All of us cannot sit in a stadium and have a
conversation."
Others strongly disagree.
Ojango Omondi, a member of the Social Justice Centers Working Group, a
community activist group in a poor district of Nairobi, said creating
formal structures and designating national representatives could let the
movement be corrupted by politicians.
"We don't need to negotiate anything," he said. "All we want is better
living conditions. All we want is the leaders to stop using our
resources ... to sponsor their lavish lifestyle."
QUESTION OF UNITY
Omondi said there was plenty to keep the past week's protesters engaged
- from organizing funerals for the nearly two dozen people killed in
clashes with police on Tuesday to forcing recall elections against
members of parliament.
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A man gestures at a demonstration over police killings of people
protesting against Kenya's proposed finance bill 2024/2025, in
Nairobi, Kenya, June 27, 2024. REUTERS/Monicah Mwangi
Another key moment could be the government's next bid to pass a
finance bill, which is needed to fund expenditures in the upcoming
fiscal year. Some protesters suspect the government will still try
to jam through tax raises.
In a country where ethnic affinities have traditionally been a key
driver of protest, the current youth-driven demonstrations have
stood out for building unity around common grievances.
But cracks are already emerging.
Despite Ruto's U-turn on the tax hikes, some protesters called for a
planned march on the presidential residence to go ahead on Thursday
in an attempt to force the president from power. Others rejected the
idea as a dangerous gambit.
In the end, there were protests in several cities, although they
were smaller than on Tuesday.
In Ruto's hometown and political stronghold of Eldoret, where
thousands from different ethnic groups took to the streets on
Tuesday, a human rights activist said some tensions were resurfacing
since the president withdrew the bill.
Nicholas Omito, CEO of the Centre for Human Rights and Mediation,
said demonstrators from Ruto's Kalenjin ethnic group were arguing
that protests should end now that the bill was dropped. Ethnic
Kikuyu demonstrators were insisting they should continue until Ruto
resigned.
Nyabola, the writer, conceded that the solidarity on display as
Kenyans across all walks of life took to the streets in the bold
showdown with their government could not undo the country's long
history of ethnic division.
"You're never going to get rid of it completely," she said. "But for
now the class and wealth disparity between politicians and ordinary
people has been the focus."
(Reporting by Aaron Ross and Giulia Paravicini; Additional reporting
by Edwin Okoth; Editing by Joe Bavier)
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