Democrats put up $25 million to reach voters in 10 states in fierce
fight for Senate majority
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[September 16, 2024]
By BILL BARROW
ATLANTA (AP) — Trying to defend their narrow Senate majority with a
challenging slate of contests on Republican-leaning turf, Democrats are
pumping $25 million into expanded voter outreach across 10 states.
The new spending from the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee,
first shared with The Associated Press, comes less than two months until
the Nov. 5 election and as Democrats are benefiting from a fundraising
surge since President Joe Biden ended his reelection bid in July and
endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris as the party standard-bearer.
“A formidable ground game makes all the difference in close races,” DSCC
Chairman Sen. Gary Peters of Michigan said in a statement. “We are
reaching every voter we need to win.”
The latest investment will be distributed across Arizona, Florida,
Maryland, Michigan, Montana, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas and
Wisconsin. The money will go toward efforts to defend five Democratic
incumbents and open seats in Michigan, Maryland and Arizona that are
currently included in Democrats’ majority, as well as efforts to unseat
GOP incumbents in Florida and Texas.
Plans for the money will vary by state but will include hiring more paid
field organizers and canvassers; digital organizing programs targeting
specific groups of voters online; texting programs; and in-person
organizing events targeting younger generations and nonwhite voters.
Democrats currently hold a 51-49 Senate advantage, a split that includes
independent senators who caucus with Democrats. But of the 33 regular
Senate elections this November, Democrats must defend 23 seats, counting
the independents who caucus with them to make their majority. They’ve
devoted few national resources to West Virginia, a Republican-leaning
state where Sen. Joe Manchin, a Democrat-turned-independent, is
retiring.
The playing field gives Democrats little margin for error. If they lose
West Virginia and hold all other seats, they still would have to upset
Florida Sen. Rick Scott or Texas Sen. Ted Cruz to win a majority or hope
Harris wins the presidential election — an outcome that would allow her
running mate, Tim Walz, to cast the tiebreaking vote for Democrats as
vice president, as Harris did in a 50-50 Senate during the first two
years of Biden's administration.
The DSCC declined to disclose a state-by-state distribution of the $25
million. But it’s no secret that Democrats’ defense of the majority
starts with tough reelection contests for Sens. Jon Tester of Montana
and Sherrod Brown of Ohio. Both are relatively popular, multiterm
incumbents, but they’re running in states where Donald Trump, the former
president and current Republican nominee, has twice won by comfortable
margins. That means Tester and Brown would need a considerable number of
voters to split their tickets between Trump and their Senate choice.
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Senate Banking Committee Chairman Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio, speaks with
reporters at the Capitol in Washington, March 15, 2023. (AP Photo/J.
Scott Applewhite, File)
Senate Democrats already have financed field offices in Montana and
Ohio, since those are not presidential battleground states where the
Harris campaign leads Democrats’ coordinated campaign operations. And
even with the money coming from national coffers, the additional
on-the-ground spending will reinforce the two Democratic senators'
strategies of distancing themselves from Harris and the national party.
Five of the 10 states getting money, meanwhile, overlap with the
presidential battleground map: Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania
and Wisconsin. Biden won all of them four years ago, while Trump won all
except Nevada in 2016. Both presidential campaigns see the states as
tossups this fall.
The voter outreach spending comes alongside an ongoing $79 million
advertising effort by Democrats’ Senate campaign arm and builds on
staffing and infrastructure investments that the national party arm
already has made.
The outlay comes after Harris, who has raised more than $500 million
since taking over the Democratic presidential ticket in July, announced
plans to distribute $25 million to party committees that focus on
down-ballot races. Senate and House Democrats’ respective campaigns each
got $10 million of that money, an acknowledgment that Democratic
majorities on Capitol Hill would make a Harris presidency more
successful and that Harris and down-ballot Democrats can help each other
at the ballot box.
Democratic aides said the on-the-ground spending was always in the
Senate committee’s plans, but Harris’ bounty certainly expands options
for all party-affiliated campaign groups. Democrats believe they have a
superior campaign infrastructure to Trump and the rest of the GOP in a
campaign year where the White House and control of Capitol Hill could be
decided by marginal turnout changes among the parties' core supporters
and a narrow band of persuadable voters.
Still, the National Republican Senatorial Committee has outraised and
outspent Senate Democrats this cycle, though Democrats had more cash on
hand at the end of July, the last reporting period disclosed to the
Federal Election Committee.
Through July 31, the NRSC had raised $181.3 million and spent $138.5
million. Republicans reported a balance of $51 million. Democrats had
raised $154 million and spent $103.3 million. They reported a balance of
$59.3 million.
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