How much is TikTok worth and who could buy it?
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[January 16, 2025] NEW
YORK (AP) — The supremely popular TikTok could be banned on Jan. 19
under a federal law that forces the video sharing platform to divest
itself from its China-based parent company, ByteDance, or shut down its
U.S. operations.
Several parties have expressed interest in buying the platform, but
ByteDance has repeatedly said it does not plan to sell. Experts have
also noted the Chinese government is unlikely to approve a sale that
includes TikTok's coveted algorithm.
But until the deadline passes, or until the Supreme Court takes action,
the possibility of a purchase is still possible. Here's what you need to
know:
How much is TikTok worth?
Wedbush analyst Dan Ives estimates TikTok is worth “well north of $100
billion” with the algorithm — and potentially up to $200 billion in a
“best case scenario.”
“Without the algorithm it’s $40 billion to $50 billion,” Ives said,
adding he does not believe that ByteDance and Beijing would sell TikTok
with the algorithm.
Attorneys for the TikTok and ByteDance have claimed it’s impossible to
divest the platform commercially and technologically. They also say any
sale of TikTok without the coveted algorithm — the platform’s secret
sauce that Chinese authorities would likely block under any divesture
plan — would turn the U.S. version of TikTok into an island disconnected
from other global content.
U.S. officials warned that the proprietary algorithm is vulnerable to
manipulation by Chinese authorities, who can use it to shape content on
the platform in a way that’s difficult to detect.
Who's serious about buying TikTok?
Billionaire businessman and real estate mogul Frank McCourt and his
internet advocacy group recently announced it had submitted a proposal
to buy the social media site from ByteDance. Famed Shark Tank investor
Kevin O’Leary has also joined the effort.
The group has not disclosed details of the bid.
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If a sale occurs, the former owner
of the Los Angeles Dodgers said he would plan to restructure TikTok
and give more agency to people “over their digital identities and
data” by migrating the platform to an open-source protocol that
allows for more transparency.
Former Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has also
taken steps to purchase TikTok.
Shortly after Congress passed the ban, Mnuchin told CNBC he had
started creating an investor group that would purchase the popular
social media company. He offered no details about who may be in the
group or about TikTok’s possible valuation.
When Mnuchin was Treasury secretary, he helped the Trump
administration broker a deal in 2020 that would have had U.S.
corporations Oracle and Walmart take a large stake in TikTok on
national security grounds.
Several other names have been floated as possible buyers — Tesla CEO
Elon Musk, Jimmy Donaldson ( MrBeast), who recently posted on social
media about possibly pulling off such a deal, and former
Blizzard-Activision CEO Bobby Kotick. Whether these buyers are
serious and actively assembling a bid for the company, however, is
not clear.
Can Trump intervene?
President-elect Donald Trump, who takes office on Jan. 20, recently
asked the court to put a pause on the law so he can work out a
“political resolution” to the issue during his second term.
If the justices — who heard oral arguments Friday over the law —
grant his request, a potential ban on TikTok will be delayed. The
Supreme Court is expected to issue a decision within days.
The Trump transition team has not offered details on how Trump plans
to carry out his campaign pledge to “save TikTok.” But spokeswoman
Karoline Leavitt said in a statement in November that he plans to
“deliver” on his promise.
After Trump takes office, it would fall on his Justice Department to
enforce the law and punish any potential violators. On Wednesday,
Pam Bondi, Trump's pick for Attorney General, dodged a question
during a Senate hearing on whether she’d uphold a TikTok ban.
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