House Republicans ask state Supreme Court to toss out legislative map
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[January 29, 2025]
By Ben Szalinski
SPRINGFIELD — Democrats continue to hold a supermajority in the Illinois
House thanks to illegally gerrymandered House districts, House
Republicans allege in a new lawsuit filed with the Illinois Supreme
Court Tuesday.
The lawsuit alleges the current House map fails to meet state
constitutional requirements that districts be compact and allow
elections to be “free and equal.” The outcome is elections that are
“rigged” to favor Democratic candidates. Republicans want the court to
invalidate the maps and appoint a special master to draw new district
boundaries.
Republicans are targeting this lawsuit to state courts after previously
failing to block the maps in federal court. New data and a key expert
witness, they say, make their state case more likely to succeed.
“Illinois House Republicans refuse to stand by while Democrats rig
elections and manipulate the system to maintain their grip on power,”
House Minority Leader Tony McCombie, R-Savanna, said at a news
conference Tuesday.
The lawsuit comes after House Republicans failed to gain seats in the
two election cycles since a new map was drawn in 2021 following the
census and implemented for the 2022 election. Republicans lost five
seats in 2022 and failed to win any back in 2024, leaving House
Democrats with 78 members in the 118-member House.
‘Compactness’ in question
The first question Republicans want the Supreme Court to weigh in on is
whether the districts are “compact.”
Compactness is not defined in the state constitution, though dozens of
mathematical formulas exist to measure whether the residents in a
district are spaced appropriately.
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Republicans point to the Illinois Supreme Court’s decision to invalidate
a district in 1981, which found the central Illinois district was not
considered compact. Using two mathematical formulas, the lawsuit alleges
52 of the current House districts are less compact based on at least one
formula than the unconstitutional 89th House District was in 1981.
The 89th House District in that year included several square-shaped
sections from Peoria to Springfield. The court ruled it was not compact
based on a visual examination. The lawsuit argues existing districts
that feature odd shapes snaking around communities or extending away
from the heart of a district would fail the same eye test.
The Princeton Gerrymandering Project, which assesses legislative maps
around the country on several metrics, gave the current Illinois House
map an “F” grade for its compactness metric.
The districts are also politically gerrymandered to elect more
Democrats, according to the lawsuit.
Republicans argue Rep. Lisa Hernandez, D-Cicero, who chaired the House
Redistricting Committee, admitted to partisan gerrymandering during
floor debate in August 2021 when she was asked by then-Rep. Avery
Bourne, R-Morrisonville, whether “partisan advantage” was considered in
drawing the map.
“It is one of the factors included,” Hernandez said at the time. The
court filing also points to testimony in previous challenges to the maps
in which a House Democratic staff member acknowledges lawmakers
considered creating political advantages in certain districts as they
discussed how to draw the map.
At odds with simulations
As part of their case, House Republicans enlisted the help of national
redistricting expert Jowei Chen, from the University of Michigan. Chen
has served as an expert witness on similar lawsuits in other states.
House Republicans said Chen ran 10,000 computer simulations on different
map outcomes at their request, with the only requirement being that the
maps were compliant with the federal Voting Rights Act. None of the
simulations produced a map similar to the current House map.
“That outcome is only possible with partisan gerrymandering designed to
disenfranchise voters,” Rep. Ryan Spain, R-Peoria, said in an interview.
The current 78-40 split between Democrats and Republicans isn’t
proportional to ballots cast in recent elections, the GOP argues. The
78-40 split would make sense in a world where Republicans were receiving
roughly 40% of votes cast in a general election. But in 2022,
Republicans received 51% of votes case in House races, and the party
should expect to receive 47-48% of the votes cast in House races in a
normal election year, per the simulation.
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House Republican Leader Tony McCombie speaks at a news conference on
Tuesday about the House GOP’s lawsuit against Illinois’ legislative
maps. (Capitol News Illinois photo by Bridgette Fox)
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Thus, the GOP believes they’d have a larger share of House seats if maps
were drawn fairly.
“We’re not supposed to be depriving voters of their individual vote,”
Rep. Dan Ugaste, R-Geneva, said in an interview. “It’s supposed to have
the same meaning as every other voter in the state, and when you do that
on a partisan basis, it always skews that one individual’s vote.”
The Princeton Gerrymandering Project, using a different methodology,
gave Illinois’ House map an “A” grade for partisan fairness, meaning the
current map doesn’t give an advantage to either party.
The filing notes courts in North Carolina and Pennsylvania have
previously stuck down maps based on similar accusations and language in
those states’ constitutions similar to Illinois’.
Republicans hope the Illinois Supreme Court will agree the maps are
unfair and force new House maps to be redrawn by an independent
commission that would not consider partisan benefits. The lawsuit
focuses on the House maps, but a favorable ruling for Republicans could
be extended to Senate maps, as each Senate district is comprised of two
House districts.
“I have high hopes for the court in doing the right thing,” Spain said.
“I think the compactness claim is a slam dunk. They’ve already ruled on
that one before.”
“Leader McCombie can’t justify her party leader’s unlawful attempt to
slash services working families need to access healthcare, afford rent,
and put food on the table, so she is choosing to distract people by
relitigating a matter that courts decided years ago,” said Jon Maxson, a
spokesperson for House Speaker Chris Welch, D-Hillside, in an email.
Previous lawsuits
This is not the first time Republicans have asked courts to toss out
maps.
Republicans and the Mexican American Legal Defense and Educational Fund,
or MALDEF, sued in summer 2021 after the General Assembly passed an
initial set of maps using American Community Survey data in order to
meet statutory deadlines for redistricting after census data was delayed
by the pandemic. Lawmakers returned later that summer to pass the
current set of maps based on census data.
Republicans and MALDEF sued again to try to stop the maps, arguing the
latest version reduced the number of Latino-majority districts in the
Chicago area. A separate case was filed by the East St. Louis Branch of
the NAACP and other civil rights groups that argued the maps broke up
the Metro East’s Black voting population. A three-judge panel of federal
judges rejected those challenges in December 2021, leaving the current
maps in place.
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Republican lawmakers said their reason for challenging the map wasn’t
based on whether it would lead to more Republicans winning legislative
seats in future elections. Ugaste said he believes an independently
drawn map could make his reelection more difficult in his west suburban
district.
“I’m willing to do it because that is what is right for the voters. It’s
not about me hanging on to my seat,” Ugaste said.
The plaintiffs also argue it’s not too late to challenge the maps, as
there are three more elections before the General Assembly is required
to redraw the maps after the 2030 Census. Fourteen other states also
have pending cases challenging legislative maps.
“Other states continue to work on this; we shouldn’t forfeit our ability
to do so in Illinois,” Spain said.
Capitol News Illinois is
a nonprofit, nonpartisan news service that distributes state government
coverage to hundreds of news outlets statewide. It is funded primarily
by the Illinois Press Foundation and the Robert R. McCormick Foundation. |