Trump keeps saying the GOP mega bill will eliminate taxes on Social
Security. It does not
[July 02, 2025]
By FATIMA HUSSEIN
WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump keeps saying that Republicans'
mega tax and spending cut legislation will eliminate taxes on federal
Social Security benefits.
It does not.
At best, Trump's “no tax on Social Security” claim exaggerates the
benefits to seniors if either the House or Senate-passed proposals is
signed into law.
Here's a look at Trump's recent statements, and what the proposals would
— or would not — do.
What Trump has said
Trump repeatedly told voters during his 2024 campaign that he would
eliminate taxes on Social Security. As his massive legislative package
has moved through Congress, the Republican president has claimed that's
what the bill would do.
Trump said on a recent appearance on Fox News’ “Sunday Morning Futures"
that the bill includes “no tax on tips, no tax on Social Security, no
tax on overtime.”
A temporary tax deduction
But instead of eliminating the tax, the Senate and House have each
passed their own versions of a temporary tax deduction for seniors aged
65 and over, which applies to all income — not just Social Security.
And it turns out not all Social Security beneficiaries will be able to
claim the deduction. Those who won't be able to do so include the
lowest-income seniors who already don’t pay taxes on Social Security,
those who choose to claim their benefits before they reach age 65 and
those above a defined income threshold.

The Senate proposal includes a temporary $6,000 deduction for seniors
over the age of 65, contrasted with the House proposal, which includes a
temporary deduction of $4,000.
The Senate proposal approved Tuesday would eliminate Social Security tax
liability for seniors with adjusted gross incomes of $75,000 or less or
$150,000 if filing as a married couple.
If passed into law, the tax deduction would last four years, from 2025
to 2029.
The deductions phase out as income increases.
White House touts impact
Touting a new Council of Economic Advisers analysis, the White House
said Tuesday that “88% of all seniors who receive Social Security — will
pay NO TAX on their Social Security benefits," going on to say that the
Senate proposal’s $6,000 senior deduction “is estimated to benefit 33.9
million seniors, including seniors not claiming Social Security. The
deduction yields an average increase in after-tax income of $670 per
senior who benefits from it.”
[to top of second column]
|

A Social Security card is displayed on Oct. 12, 2021, in Tigard,
Ore. The go-broke dates for Medicare and Social Security’s trust
funds have moved up as rising health care costs and new legislation
affecting Social Security benefits have contributed to closer
projected depletion dates. That's according to an annual report
released Wednesday. (AP Photo/Jenny Kane, File)

Garrett Watson, director of policy analysis at the Tax Foundation
think tank, said conflating the tax deduction with a claim that
there will be no tax on Social Security could end up confusing and
angering a lot of seniors who will expect to not pay taxes on their
Social Security benefits.
“While the deduction does provide some relief for seniors, it's far
from completely repealing the tax on their benefits,” Watson said.
Economic effect
The cost of actually eliminating the tax on Social Security would
have massive impacts on the economy.
University of Pennsylvania’s Penn Wharton Budget Model estimates
that eliminating income taxes on Social Security benefits “would
reduce revenues by $1.5 trillion over 10 years and increase federal
debt by 7 percent by 2054" and speed up the projected depletion date
of the Social Security Trust Fund from 2034 to 2032.
Discussions over taxes on Social Security are just part of the
overall bill, which is estimated in its Senate version to increase
federal deficits over the next 10 years by nearly $3.3 trillion from
2025 to 2034, according to the Congressional Budget Office.
Administration officials have said the cost of the tax bill would be
offset by tariff income.
Recently, the CBO separately estimated that Trump’s sweeping tariff
plan would cut deficits by $2.8 trillion over a 10-year period while
shrinking the economy, raising the inflation rate and reducing the
purchasing power of households overall.
All contents © copyright 2025 Associated Press. All rights reserved
 |