2024 Logan County
Fall Farm Magazine

Pondering the Impacts of our Very Cold Winter on 2025 Pest Control
By Ed Shimon, Warning Coordination Meteorologist, NWS Central Illinois

Send a link to a friend  Share

[March 23, 2025]   The winter of 2024-2025 has been marked by exceptionally cold temperatures across Illinois, with multiple Arctic blasts leading to significant drops in temperature.  In January 2025, more than 30 states, including Illinois, were affected by a weaker and wavier polar jet that allowed for periodic Arctic intrusions. That resulted in temperatures plummeting to levels not seen in years.
 

Air temperatures in central Illinois as cold as -10 degrees Fahrenheit on a couple of occasions, coupled with wind chills as low as -25 degrees Fahrenheit, created dangerously cold conditions. Cold Weather Advisories were issued for all of central Illinois on a couple of occasions. Looking at the Lincoln climatological summary for January from the National Weather Service in Lincoln, there were 19 days in January that were below normal, with 12 of those being double digits below normal. Due to limited snow cover during the Arctic blasts, a frost depth of 10 to 12 inches was able to develop for many locations across central Illinois. That is around 6 to 8 inches deeper than normal. That frost depth also lasted for several weeks, helping to have more impact on pests that typically winter in the surface soils.

Such prolonged extreme cold conditions can have profound effects on agricultural pests and pathogens, potentially influencing the upcoming 2025 growing season in Illinois. While some pests may be adversely affected by the harsh winter conditions, others may remain resilient, and the overall impact on pest populations can vary.

Impact on Insect Pests

A deep frost depth in central Illinois during winter can significantly reduce the population of ground insect pests and pathogens in the spring by killing off a large portion of their overwintering stages, especially if there is little snow cover to insulate the soil, leading to a lower pest pressure when warmer weather arrives; essentially acting as a natural pest control mechanism by exposing them to extreme cold temperatures below the frost line.

Some agricultural insect pests have developed various strategies to survive harsh winter conditions, such as entering diapause—a state of suspended development—or seeking shelter in protected environments. However, extreme cold can still affect their survival rates. For instance, pests that are not well-adapted to severe cold may experience higher mortality rates during harsh winters. Conversely, native pests that have evolved in colder climates may possess mechanisms to withstand low temperatures, resulting in minimal impact on their populations.

It's important to note that while extreme cold can reduce the numbers of certain pests, it may not eliminate them entirely. Additionally, some pests may have life stages that are less susceptible to cold temperatures, allowing them to survive and reproduce once favorable conditions return.

Impact on Plant Pathogens

Nathan Kleczewski, Research Assistant Professor at the Department of Crop Services, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign states that plant pathogens, including fungi and bacteria, can also be influenced by winter temperatures. Some pathogens may not overwinter as effectively during extreme cold periods, potentially reducing their prevalence in the following growing season. For example, certain fungal pathogens that cause diseases like powdery mildew may have reduced survival rates after harsh winters.

[to top of second column

However, Nathan indicates that the relationship between winter temperatures and pathogen survival is complex. Some pathogens produce resilient spores or structures that can withstand cold conditions, allowing them to persist despite severe weather. Moreover, fluctuations in temperature, rather than sustained cold, can sometimes be more detrimental to pathogens, as freeze-thaw cycles can disrupt their life cycles.

Considerations for the 2025 Growing Season

While the bitter cold of the 2024-2025 winter may lead to a decrease in certain pest and pathogen populations, it is not a guaranteed outcome. Farmers and agricultural professionals in Illinois should remain vigilant and continue to implement integrated pest management (IPM) strategies. Regular monitoring of pest and disease levels, combined with proactive management practices, will be essential to mitigate potential impacts on crops during the 2025 growing season.

In summary, the severe winter conditions experienced in Illinois during the 2024-2025 season have the potential to influence pest and pathogen dynamics. While some reductions in certain populations may occur, the resilience of many pests and pathogens necessitates continued vigilance and adaptive management in the agricultural sector.

Resources:

College of Agricultural, Consumer & Environmental Sciences – Illinois Extension

Department of Crop Sciences, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.

 

Read all the articles in our new
2025 Spring Farm Outlook

Title
CLICK ON TITLES TO GO TO PAGES
Page
2025 Spring Farm outlook:  Introduction 4
2025 Spring Farm Outlook:  Taxes & Tariffs 6
Pondering the impacts of our very cold winter on 2025 pest control 10
Short Corn 14
Farm Bureau Ag Scholarships:  Where are they now? 18
FTC, Illinois and Minnesota sue John Deere 22
Do agricultural drones have a future in the United States? 26
Cover Crops 32
Henry Farmer - by name and occupation 36
LCHS Senior Kristy Morrow shares her memories and experiences as the 2025-25 FFA Section 14 President 40

 

Back to top