The
Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) showed that
layoffs rose slightly. The number of Americans quitting their
jobs — a sign of confidence in their ability to find better pay,
opportunities or working conditions elsewhere — was unchanged
from June at 3.2 million.
Jobs openings remain at healthy levels but have fallen steadily
since peaking at a record 12.1 million in March 2022 as the U.S.
economy roared back from COVID-19 lockdowns.
The U.S. job market has lost momentum this year, partly because
of the lingering effects of 11 interest rate hikes by the
inflation fighters at the Federal Reserve in 2022 and 2023 and
partly because President Donald Trump’s trade wars have created
uncertainty that is paralyzing managers making hiring decisions.
On Friday, the Labor Department will put out unemployment and
hiring numbers for August. They are expected to show that
businesses, government agencies and nonprofits added nearly
80,000 jobs last month, according to a survey of forecasters by
the data firm FactSet. That would mark a modest improvement on
the disappointing 73,000 they created in July.
Worse than the lackluster July hiring figures were Labor
Department revisions that slashed a stunning 258,000 jobs off
May and June payrolls. A furious Trump responded to the bad
numbers by firing the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics,
the technocratic agency that compiles the statistics, and
nominating a partisan idealogue to replace her.
So far this year, the economy has been generating 85,000 jobs a
month, down from 168,000 last year and an average 400,000 a
month during the hiring boom of 2021-2023.
In a time of uncertainty, employers are less likely to hire, but
they’re not letting workers go either.
In a social media post Heather Long, chief economist at Navy
Federal Credit Union, noted that jobs openings in July had come
in below the number of U.S. unemployed (7.24 million) for the
first time since April 2021. “This is yet another crack in the
labor market that illustrates how much harder it is to get a new
job right now than what we’ve seen in a long time,” she wrote.
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