Record snow drought in Western US raises concern for a spring of water
shortages and wildfires
[February 11, 2026]
By DORANY PINEDA and SETH BORENSTEIN
A record snow drought with unprecedented heat is hitting most of the
American West, depleting future water supplies, making it more
vulnerable to wildfires and hurting winter tourism and recreation.
Scientists say snow cover and snow depth are both at the lowest levels
they’ve seen in decades, while at least 67 Western weather stations have
measured their warmest December through early February on record. Normal
snow cover this time of year should be about 460,000 square miles —
about the size of California, Utah, Idaho and Montana — but this year
it's only California-sized, about 155,000 square miles, according to the
National Snow and Ice Data Center.
“I have not seen a winter like this before,” said center director Mark
Serreze, who has been in Colorado almost 40 years. “This pattern that
we’re in is so darned persistent.”
The snowpack — measured by how much water is trapped inside — in Oregon
is not only record low, but 30% lower than the previous record, said
Jason Gerlich, regional drought early warning system coordinator for the
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
Much of the U.S. east of the Rockies is snowbound and enduring more than
two weeks of bone-chilling abnormal cold, but in West Jordan, Utah, a
suburb of Salt Lake City, Trevor Stephens went to the store last week in
gym shorts and a T-shirt.
“Right now there’s no snow on the ground,” he said in a video interview,
looking out his window and lamenting the lack of snowboarding
opportunities. “I’d definitely rather have icy roads and snow than
whatever is going on out here right now.”

Concerns over water supply and wildfires
Ski resorts had already been struggling through a difficult season, but
the lack of snow has been persistent enough that concerns are growing
about wider effects.
Oregon, Colorado and Utah have reported their lowest statewide snowpack
since the early 1980s, as far back as records go.
A dry January has meant most states have received half their average
precipitation or even less. Along with sunny days and
higher-than-average temperatures, that's meant little snow buildup in a
month that historically gets a lot of snow accumulation across much of
the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies. Because of heavy rains in
December, California is in better shape than the other states,
scientists said.
As of Monday, it had been 327 days since Salt Lake City International
Airport got 1 inch (2.54 centimeters) of snow, making it the longest
stretch since 1890-91, according to the National Weather Service.
The meager snow in Colorado and Utah has put the Upper Colorado River
Basin at the heart of the snow drought, said Gerlich.
A robust mountain snowpack that slowly melts as winter warms to spring
provides a steady flow of water into creeks and rivers. That helps
ensure there’s enough water later in the year for agriculture, cities,
hydropower electric systems and more.
[to top of second column]
|

A flock of Canada geese sits in a small bank of dirt-covered snow
melting in a parking lot, Friday, Feb. 6, 2026, in Sheridan, Colo.
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)

But lack of snow or a too-fast melt means less water will replenish
rivers like the Colorado later in the season.
“This is a pretty big problem for the Colorado basin,” said Daniel
Swain of the University of California’s Water Resources Institute.
Experts said the snow drought could also kick-start an early
wildfire season. Snow disappearing earlier than average leaves the
ground exposed to warmer weather in the spring and summer, which
dries soils and vegetation quicker, said Daniel McEvoy, researcher
with the Western Regional Climate Center.
Too warm to snow
While it's been dry, the record-low snowpack is mostly due to how
warm the West has been, which is connected to climate change from
the burning of coal, oil and natural gas, several scientists said.
Since Dec. 1, there have been more than 8,500 daily high temperature
records broken or tied in the West, according to NOAA data.
Much of the precipitation that would normally fall as snow and stay
in the mountains for months is instead falling as rain, which runs
off quicker, Swain and other scientists said. It's a problem
scientists have warned about with climate change.
Going snowless happens from time to time, but it's the warmth that
has been so extreme, which is easier to tie to climate change, said
Russ Schumacher, professor of atmospheric science at Colorado State
University and Colorado State Climatologist.
“It was so warm, especially in December, that the snow was only
falling at the highest parts of the mountains,” McEvoy said. “And
then we moved into January and it got really dry almost everywhere
for the last three to four weeks and stayed warm.”
Wetter, cooler weather is coming
Meteorologists expect wetter, cooler weather across the West this
week with some snow, so this may be the peak of the snow drought.
But it'll still be warmer than usual in many areas, and scientists
aren't optimistic the snow will be enough.
“I don’t think there’s any way we’re going to go back up to, you
know, average or anywhere close to that,” said Schumacher. “But at
least we can chip away at those deficits a little bit if it does get
more active.”
All contents © copyright 2026 Associated Press. All rights reserved
 |