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The
191-nation lending organization expects that global growth will
come in at 3.3% this year, same as in 2025 but up from from the
3.1% it had forecast for 2026 back in October.
The world economy "continues to show notable resilience despite
significant US-led trade disruptions and heightened
uncertainty,'' IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and
his colleague Tobias Adrian wrote in a blog post accompanying
the latest update to the fund's World Economic Outlook.
The U.S. economy, benefiting from the strongest pace of
technology investment since 2001, is forecast to expand 2.4%
this year, an upgrade on the fund's October forecast and on
expected 2025 growth — both 2.1%.
China — the world's second-largest economy — is forecast to see
4.5% growth, an improvement on the 4.2% the IMF had predicted
October, partly because a trade truce with the United States has
reduced American tariffs on Chinese exports.
India, which as supplanted China as the world's fastest-growing
major economy, is expected to see growth decelerate from 7.3%
last year (when it was juiced by an unexpectedly strong second
half) to a still-healthy 6.4% in 2026.
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