Sleep-tracking devices have limits. Experts want users to know what they
are
[January 26, 2026]
By R.J. RICO and EMILIE MEGNIEN
ATLANTA (AP) — Your watch says you had three hours of deep sleep. Should
you believe it?
Millions of people rely on phone apps and wearable devices like rings,
smartwatches and sensors to monitor how well they're sleeping, but these
trackers don’t necessarily measure sleep directly. Instead, they infer
states of slumber from signals like heart rate and movement, raising
questions about how reliable the information is and how seriously it
should be taken.
The U.S. sleep-tracking devices market generated about $5 billion in
2023 and is expected to double in revenue by 2030, according to market
research firm Grand View Research. As the devices continue to gain
popularity, experts say it is important to understand what they can and
cannot tell you, and how their data should be used.
Here's a look at the technology — and why one expert thinks its full
potential has yet to be realized.
What your sleep tracker actually measures
Whether it's an Apple Watch, a Fitbit, an Oura Ring or one of
innumerable other competitors, health and fitness trackers largely take
the same basic approach by recording the wearer's movements and heart
rate while at rest, according to Daniel Forger, a University of Michigan
math professor who researches the science behind sleep wearables.

The algorithms used by major brands have become highly accurate for
determining when someone is asleep, Forger said. The devices are also
somewhat helpful for estimating sleep stages, though an in-lab study
would be more precise, he said.
“If you really want to know definitively how much non-REM sleep you’re
having versus REM sleep, that’s where the in-lab studies really excel,”
Forger said.
The sleep numbers that matter most
Dr. Chantale Branson, a neurologist and professor at the Morehouse
School of Medicine, said she frequently has patients showing up with
sleep scores from fitness trackers in hand, sometimes fixated on
granular details such as how much REM sleep they got on a certain night.
Branson says those patients are taking the wrong approach: the devices
help highlight trends over time but should not be viewed as a definitive
measure of one's sleep health. Nor should any single night's data be
seen as significant.
“We would have believed them with or without the device and worked on
trying to figure out why they can't sleep — and that is what the
wearables do not do,” she said.
Branson said she thinks people who check their sleep statistics every
morning would be better served by spending their efforts on “sleep
hygiene” such as creating a relaxing bedtime routine, avoiding screens
before bed and making sure their sleep environment is comfortable. She
advises those concerned about their sleep to consult a clinician before
spending money on a wearable.
Forger takes a more favorable view toward the devices, which he says
help keep the overlooked importance of sleep front of mind. He
recommends them even for people without significant sleep issues, saying
they can offer insights that help users fine-tune their routines and
feel more alert during the day.
“Seeing if your biological clock is in sync is a huge benefit because
even if you’re giving yourself the right amount of time, if you’re
sleeping at the wrong times, the sleep won’t be as efficient,” Forger
said.
How sleep data can drive better habits
Kate Stoye, an Atlanta-area middle school teacher, bought an Oura Ring
last summer, having heard positive things from friends who used it as a
fertility tracker: “It’s so accurate,” she said. Stoye found the ring to
be just as helpful with tracking her sleep. After noticing that the few
nights she drank alcohol coincided with poorer sleep quality, she
decided to give up alcohol.

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Middle school teacher Kate Stoye checks her sleep score on her
phone, Wednesday, Jan. 7, 2026, in Hiram, Ga. (AP Photo/Emilie
Megnien)
 “I don’t see much reason to drink if
I know that it’s going to affect how I feel,” said Stoye, who always
wears her device except when she is playing tennis or needs to
charge it.
Another trend she says she detected in the ring's data: the
importance of not eating too late if she wants to get good rest.
“I always struggle with going to bed, and it’s often because I eat
late at night,” Stoye said. “I know that about myself, and it knows
it too.”
When sleep tracking becomes a problem
Mai Barreneche, who works in advertising in New York City, used to
wear her Oura Ring constantly. She said it helped her develop good
sleep habits and encouraged her to maintain a daily morning exercise
regimen. But as a metric-driven person, she became "obsessed" enough
with her nightly sleep scores that it began to cause her anxiety — a
modern condition that researchers have dubbed “orthosomnia.”
“I remember I would go to bed thinking about the score I was going
to get in the morning,” Barreneche said.
Barreneche decided not to wear her ring on a beach vacation a few
years ago, and when she returned home, she never put it back on. She
said she has maintained the good habits the device pointed her
toward, but no longer wants the stress of monitoring her nightly
scores.
Branson, of the Morehouse School of Medicine, said she's observed
similar score-induced anxiety as a recurring issue for some
patients, particularly those who set goals to achieve a certain
amount of REM sleep or who shared their nightly scores with friends
using the same device. Comparing sleep types and stages is
ill-advised since individual needs vary by age, genetics and other
factors, she said.
“These devices are supposed to help you," Branson said. "And if you
feel anxious or worried or frustrated about it, then it’s not
helpful, and you should really talk to a professional.”

The future of wearables
Forger thinks the promise of wearables has been underestimated, with
emerging research suggesting the devices could one day be designed
to help detect infections before symptoms appear and to flag sleep
pattern changes that may signal the onset of depression or an
increased risk of relapse.
“The body is making these really interesting and really important
decisions that we’re not aware of to keep us healthy and active and
alert at the right times of day,” he said. “If you have an
infection, that rhythm very quickly starts to disappear because the
body goes into overdrive to start fighting the infection. Those are
the kind of things we can pick up.”
The technology could be particularly useful in low-resource
communities, where wearables could help health issues to be
identified more quickly and monitored remotely without requiring
access to doctors or specialized clinics, according to Forger.
“There’s this really important story that’s about to come out: About
just how understanding sleep rhythms and sleep architecture is going
to generally improve our lives,” he said.
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