Global heat stuck on high. Scientists say August was Earth's hottest
month they've measured.
[September 10, 2026]
By SETH BORENSTEIN
WASHINGTON (AP) — Earth cooked to its hottest month on record in August,
blowing far past a key climate threshold, due to the dangerous double
whammy of human-caused climate change and a supersized El Nino,
according to the European climate service Copernicus.
August's sizzle also helped push the globe and the United States to
swelter through the hottest Northern Hemisphere summer scientists have
measured.
Last month the world averaged 62.53 degrees Fahrenheit (16.96 degrees
Celsius), which technically was one-hundredth of a degree Celsius more
than the all-time global mark set in July 2023, but because that's also
the uncertainty level, it's considered a tie, said Samantha Burgess,
strategic climate lead for Copernicus.
“It is now time to stop acting surprised that our warming planet keeps
getting warmer. This is occurring exactly as forecast by scientists
literally decades ago,” Texas A&M University climate scientist Andrew
Dessler said in an email. “The interesting question is not whether we
will keep breaking heat records (we will), but whether we’re going to do
anything about it or just stand there while the climate train runs us
over.”
Globally, August was 1.65 degrees Celsius (nearly 3 degrees Fahrenheit)
above pre-industrial levels, far exceeding the longer term 1.5 degrees
Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) threshold set by the 2015 Paris climate
agreement. The eight hottest months on record have all been from July
2023 on, according to Copernicus data.

“Our climate system is really operating well outside the range we would
have expected just a decade ago,” Burgess said Wednesday from a United
Kingdom that has been beset with heat waves. “We've transitioned from
climate being very abstract and perhaps impacting the global South or
far away places to climate impacting and disrupting our daily lives with
schools closing, hospitals being overwhelmed, roads melting, train lines
buckling. And the reality is we will get more of these conditions that
we've seen this summer.”
Global monthly ocean temperatures in August tied a March 2024 all-time
record for warmest month recorded, while Aug. 22 set a record for
hottest day recorded in the world's seas, according to Copernicus.
An extra hot summer hits
“This summer has really been exceptional. We’ve seen records that
existed for close to 100 years be broken, in the U.S. in particular,"
Burgess said.
The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration on Wednesday
announced that for the first time, summer in the Lower 48 states was
hotter than during the peak of the devastating Dust Bowl in 1936. June
through August of 2026 in the contiguous United States averaged 74.37
degrees (23.54 degrees Celsius), nearly four tenths of a degree warmer
than the mark set 90 years earlier. Globally, this past summer also
tied, with 2024, for the hottest on record, according to Copernicus.
In the U.S., August smashed heat records by more than half a degree
Fahrenheit, averaging 75.58 degrees (24.21 degrees Celsius) and the
average daytime high was a blistering 88.56 degrees (31.42 degrees
Celsius), also a record. July was similarly record hot in the U.S.,
erasing another long-standing Dust Bowl mark.
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A person cools off at a cooling mist spot on a hot and sunny day at
the Sensoji Buddhist temple in Tokyo's Asakusa district on Aug. 7,
2026. (AP Photo/Eugene Hoshiko, File)
 That records are regularly getting
broken, and that August and not July which is traditionally warmer
set an all-time record, are signs that human-caused climate change
is accelerating, Berkeley Earth climate scientist Zeke Hausfather
said.
Copernicus data goes back to 1940. NOAA data for the United States
goes back to 1895 and global data, which generally matches
Copernicus data but takes longer to calculate, dates back to 1880.
Fossil fuels, El Nino blamed
Several scientists said while El Nino is a factor, this natural and
temporary warming of parts of the Pacific that warps and warms
weather globally is nowhere as big a cause as the heat-trapping
gases emitted as humans burn coal, oil and natural gas.
“While El Nino is starting to ramp up the heat, the underlying
driver remains our relentless burning of fossil fuels. Climate
change makes every El Nino hotter, and until we stop burning coal,
oil, and gas these record-shattering months will simply keep on
coming," said Friederike Otto, a climate scientist at Imperial
College London.
Burgess said El Nino generally adds only one or two tenths of a
degree Celsius (two to four tenths Fahrenheit) to the global
temperature with the overwhelming rest of the heat coming from the
burning of fossil fuels.
This El Nino is forecast, however, to break records for strength in
the coming months. And as temperatures continue to rise, heat waves,
storms, floods and wildfires will get more frequent and more
dangerous, said Texas Tech climate scientist Katharine Hayhoe.
According to Hausfather, “it is increasingly likely that 2026 ends
up beating 2024 as the warmest year on record, and almost certain
that 2027 beats both, potentially reaching as high as 1.8 degrees
Celsius (3.2 degrees Fahrenheit) above preindustrial levels on the
back of an unprecedentedly-strong El Nino event.”

Some days may hit an even higher climate threshold, 2 degrees
Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) above mid 1800s, Burgess said.
“Until humanity stops burning colossal amount of coal, oil and gas,
the pollution this causes will keep baking our planet, and extreme
heat will keep smashing all-time records, killing millions and
costing trillions, hitting transport and health systems, and pushing
up prices for household basics like food," United Nations climate
chief Simon Stiell said. “This is the spiraling price of humanity’s
fossil fuel addiction, and the global climate crisis it is fueling.”
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