2013 LOGAN COUNTY FARM OUTLOOK MAGAZINE LINCOLN DAILY NEWS.com October 25, 2013 Page 9
April 18 is the average latest freeze date coming out of
winter, and Oct. 12 is the earliest average freeze date
heading into winter. A light frost was observed on Oct.
22 this year.
Forecasters use numerous data, including Pacific
Ocean temperatures, which influence the flow of the
air mass known as the jet stream over the states. One
explanation for this year’s weather was an unusual jet
stream pattern created by the neutrality of
On Oct. 17, the Climate Prediction Center of the
National Weather Service released experimental
seasonal climate outlooks that extend through January
2015. These maps are in three-month seasonal
increments, presenting forecasts of either temperatures
or precipitation. The forecast normals are again
measured against 30-year data and indicate above
normal, normal or below normal. The agency plans to
update the forecasts monthly.
What is expected for next year’s growing season, from
May through October?
Currently, most of Illinois, including the Logan
County area, has an equal chance of above or
below normal averages in both temperatures and
precipitation. That is presented in two, three-month
increment maps for next year. (See the
)
Last February, the Old Farmer’s Almanac long-range
forecast for the growing season, particularly stating
that September and October would be warmer and
drier than average, was close to the mark.
Taking a quick peek at its
for the
next growing season, the line chart shows precipitation
above normal in May and June, with a drastic falloff in
August and slight in September. Temperatures would
be considerably above normal in April and August and
slightly above normal in July.
All things considered, year after year, farmers
must prepare for all aspects of farming, especially
considering variables that are beyond their control,
such as weather. Not surprising, even when the odds
are against them, Logan County farmers seemingly
come out all right, probably because it’s how play they
play the whole game and with heart.
