 
          20  November 4, 2014    2014 LOGAN COUNTY FARM OUTLOOK MAGAZINE   LINCOLN DAILY NEWS.com
        
        
          year is slim.  But, and there is always a but,
        
        
          if that same farmer can hold on to his crop
        
        
          and sell after the first of the year, he may
        
        
          squeek by
        
        
          this year.
        
        
          So the real
        
        
          question
        
        
          becomes, can
        
        
          they afford
        
        
          to wait?  It
        
        
          depends on
        
        
          what they
        
        
          have in cash
        
        
          reserves, and
        
        
          how their cash flow will be affected if they
        
        
          do.
        
        
          In the late part of September, which was the
        
        
          edge of being a late harvest this year, corn
        
        
          prices dropped to a sickening $2.80 to 2.90
        
        
          per bushel on cash.  The fall in price was
        
        
          disheartening to area producers who were
        
        
          looking at some of the highest yield figures
        
        
          this area has seen in several years, if ever.
        
        
          Perhaps the most disheartening part of
        
        
          this story was in looking back at 2012
        
        
          when yields were horrible but prices were
        
        
          remarkably high, and realizing that the
        
        
          potential for profitability that year was
        
        
          better than it is now.
        
        
          In 2012, the
        
        
          year of the
        
        
          drought,
        
        
          harvest figures
        
        
          for corn in
        
        
          Logan County
        
        
          came in at
        
        
          96.5 bushels
        
        
          per acre.  But
        
        
          cash corn at
        
        
          the country
        
        
          elevators was at a record high of
        
        
          approximately $7.63 per bushel, yielding
        
        
          approximately $735.00 per acre in gross
        
        
          revenue.
        
        
          According to figures published by the
        
        
          University of Illinois cost of production that
        
        
          year was $851 per acre, so even the very
        
        
          best fields lost about $116 per acre.
        
        
          In June of this year, the U of I predicted fall
        
        
          harvest would come in at 196 per acre on
        
        
          corn.  With that as the basis, area farmers
        
        
          Continued
        
        
          
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