Saturday, May 15, 2010
 
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Illinois taxes: 1 set of data, 2 different conclusions

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[May 15, 2010]  CHICAGO -- Illinois tax rates are the most talked about issue on the campaign trail and in the Statehouse as Gov. Pat Quinn pushes for a 33 percent income tax increase.

HardwareAnd while both sides of the debate battle over the merits of changing state tax codes, it becomes apparent that the same numbers can be seen in two very different lights. It is fact that is not often acknowledged, but one that is all too clear to the Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, the economic forecasting branch for the Illinois Legislature, which released a report this week on Illinois' national standing among state tax revenues.

"Whether it is better for a state to be ranked high or low in the rankings is open to interpretation," said Eric Noggle, the report's author. "Some believe that if a state is able to financially survive on tax rates that create relatively low per-capita figures, the better the financial situation for the people of that state. Others, however, would view low per-capita figures as missed opportunities for revenue growth, and subsequent program spending."

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The figures from the bipartisan legislative commission paint a picture of a state that hauls in a pretty penny but is forced to stretch that money across a broad landscape.

Illinois is one of seven states in the nation with a flat income tax, and its 3 percent rate is the lowest among those states. Illinois collected more than $9 billion from the state's 13 million residents -- about one-third of total revenue.

That figure is the seventh-highest in the country; but it can be deceptive, which is why the commission analyzed the tax data on a per-capita basis. Illinois dropped to 31st in terms of per-capita taxation because its tax dollars cover the nation's fifth most populous state. It also ranks lowest in the eight-state Midwest region -- Illinois, Iowa, Wisconsin, Indiana, Kentucky, Missouri, Ohio and Michigan -- in terms of state taxes as a percentage of income, at just over 7 percent.

Ralph Martire, executive director of the nonpartisan Center for Tax and Budget Accountability, said even then the numbers are "distorted." He said the most appropriate figure to look at is total tax collection as a percentage of income. Illinois is ranked 46th according to the Federation of Tax Administrators. Martire believes that is a disturbing figure.

"We're low-tax, we're low-spending, we have a $13 billion deficit and we're not meeting existing needs," he said. "The way we look at this whole problem is, the most responsible solution is a tax increase."

Other groups, especially those that oppose the governor's borrow-heavy budget, are more concerned with debt levels than revenue.

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The COGFA report looks at data from 2007 -- the latest available statistics on local governments -- to analyze total debt outstanding. Illinois ranks fifth with more than $116 billion in debt, translating to about $9,000 per capita, for a ninth-place ranking.

Laurence Msall, president of the Civic Federation, said the state's rank has increased only since 2007, given the state's borrowing in 2008 and 2009, along with $6 billion in unpaid bills.

"COGFA in providing this information is positive and is an important contribution, but the report only goes so far," he said. "It does not fully address the state's financial crisis."

The Civic Federation has come out against Quinn's budget because of its reliance on borrowing and tax increases without matching spending cuts.

The COGFA report also looks at each of Illinois' tax systems at the local level, including the property and sales tax. Illinois' local tax systems bring in the most money overall at more than $20 billion -- a little more than $5,000 per capita.

Much of that money is spent on schools. Illinois' local governments cover nearly 56 percent of total school spending -- the highest rate in the country. The state provides about one-third of funds -- one of the lowest rates in the nation.

Those figures get to the heart of the debate over Quinn's proposed tax increase, which he has dubbed the "1 percent education surcharge." Quinn has said that he wants the state to increase its role in education funding to lessen the burden on local governments. Opponents to the tax increase say local funding allows local management of school districts, improving education.

Illinois held steady in most all categories year-over-year, despite massive drops in revenue. The state pulled in more than $29 billion in 2009, the sixth most in the nation -- a ranking Illinois has held for years.

[Illinois Statehouse News; By BILL McMORRIS]

  

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